Our Jaguars vs. Ravens expert picks bring together our analysts' favorite NFL picks for Jacksonville's clash with Baltimore, with the plays and breakdowns you need before kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET from M&T Bank Stadium.
For more analysis, read our complete Jaguars vs. Ravens predictions for Nov. 5.
Jaguars vs Ravens expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Justice Hill 15+ receiving yards |
52% |
 Josh Inglis: Nate Boerkircher 10+ receiving yards |
45% |
 Joe Osborne: Jaguars -9.5 |
54% |
 Jon Metler: Parker Washington anytime TD |
39% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Justice Hill 15+ receiving yards
Considering the Baltimore Ravens’ QB situation, Baltimore will find itself in plenty of third-down spots on TNF.
Justice Hill is the third-down back and saw his snaps and targets spike last week when the QBs started dropping like flies. Backups love pass-catching RBs as short and safe options, and my projection calls for 17+ yards receiving from Hill tonight.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Nate Boerkircher 10+ receiving yards - YES
Nate Boerkircher has scored touchdowns in back-to-back games and is carving out a bigger role in an offense that has been unstoppable in 2-TE sets, ranking first in EPA/pass in multi-TE formations.
He's also seeing roughly 33% of the snaps in single-TE sets and brings some YAC ability, with nearly half of his receiving yards this season coming after the catch.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Jaguars -9.5
The Ravens are an absolute mess right now, scoring 13 points or fewer in three straight games while allowing 71 points over their last two.
Now they're starting banged-up rookie Joe Fagnano on a short week vs. a legit Super Bowl contender. Meanwhile, the Jacksonville Jaguars have been an absolute bully against inferior competition, going 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 as a favorite, covering by an average of 8.6 points.
Baltimore is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five as a home underdog, losing by an average of 16. This has bloodbath written all over it.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Parker Washington anytime touchdown
At 39%, I'll hit the button on Parker Washington to score a touchdown, as I price his chances closer to 45% against the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday Night Football.
Baltimore frequently sends five or more pass rushers in the red zone, which could force Trevor Lawrence to get the ball out quickly and target his first read.
Operating primarily out of the slot, Washington has the quickness and YAC ability to turn a short reception into a touchdown, making him an appealing play at this price.
How to watch Jaguars vs Ravens
| Location | M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Md. |
| Date | Thursday, Nov. 5, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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