Caleb Williams is out, but our Eagles vs. Bears AI picks still call for an upset tonight on Monday Night Football when the Philadelphia Eagles visit the Chicago Bears with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC) from Soldier Field in Chicago, Ill.
Our AI model projects a 24-20 win for the Bears as part of our NFL AI predictions for Week 3. Below, we break down why the model is backing the Bears to win and cover, along with its best anytime touchdown pick using the latest odds from the best prediction market apps.
Eagles vs Bears AI picks
Win probability courtesy of Kalshi at time of publish; odds may vary.
Eagles vs Bears AI prediction
MON · 8:15 pm ET · ESPN / ABC
Win probability · market-impliedMore analysis
The Bears' running game gives them a chance to pull off the upset without Caleb Williams. Williams is out with a hamstring injury, and NFL Network reports that Case Keenum is expected to start. Tyson Bagent has cleared concussion protocol and is available. The Bears entered Week 3 averaging 212.5 rushing yards, with D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai giving Ben Johnson two options to take pressure off his quarterback.
We have the Bears winning 24–20, making Bears +3.5 and Over 41.5 our selections. The Bears held the Vikings to nine points and 246 yards last week, while the Eagles are missing Dallas Goedert and Hollywood Brown. The harder task is finishing drives: the Bears scored only three points in that loss. Our forecast calls for an offensive rebound, with a four-point win putting them inside the spread and 44 combined points clearing the total by 2.5.
Eagles vs Bears AI touchdown pick
How our NFL AI predictions work
Our NFL AI predictions use a custom forecasting model built with GPT-6 Astra to project a final score for each matchup using historical scoring results, team-strength ratings, game conditions, matchup details, and other relevant context for predicting the final score.
The score forecasts are fixed before we compare them with the selected Kalshi spread and total to produce our ATS and Over/Under picks. Kalshi percentages are market quotes, separate from the score forecasts. We track results against the original selections and lines at time of publish.
We’ll continue updating the process as the season develops and publicly track every published score prediction, ATS pick, and Over/Under selection.
