Dolphins vs 49ers Prediction, Top Picks & TD Scorer: NFL Week 2

Nick Galaida - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Nick Galaida • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 20, 2026 , 01:29 PM ET • 4 min read

Points should be aplenty at Levi's Stadium this weekend — find out why Mike Evans is set to play a pivotal role when the 49ers lock horns with the Dolphins.

nfl

Sep 20 • 12:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers NFL Mike Evans
Photo By - Reuters Connect. San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Mike Evans.

The Dolphins and 49ers will meet in Week 2 action later this afternoon, and my Dolphins vs. 49ers prediction has a shootout on tap, with the Over being one of my top NFL picks for today's slate.

The 49ers are 13.5-point home favorites at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara in their first game after opening the season in Australia, and kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX.

 TOP Pick
Dolphins vs 49ers prediction: Over 44.5

Playable to 46.

The Miami Dolphins defense struggled against a Las Vegas offense that started 38-year-old Kirk Cousins in Week 1. The Dolphins had a league-worst 6.5% defensive pressure rate and allowed 143 rushing yards to Ashton Jeanty and Mike Washington Jr. out of the backfield.

The net result was 27 points for the Raiders, a team that scored 17 points or fewer in eight of their final nine regular season games in 2025.

The San Francisco 49ers allowed only seven points in their season opener, but they benefited tremendously from the Rams being jet-lagged after arriving in Australia late in the week. Still, San Francisco's defense didn't record a sack on 28 Los Angeles pass attempts, and their 22.2% quick pressure rate ranked fifth-worst among defenses in Week 1.

Both of these offenses should have time to operate in Week 2, which should lead to a higher-scoring affair.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Rookies accounted for 27.2% of Miami's snaps in Week 1. No other team was above 16.7%. Young defenders blow assignments in space. 

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Dolphins vs 49ers combo

Brock Purdy thrived from a clean pocket in 2025, ranking third in EPA/dropback and second in Success Rate among 33 qualified quarterbacks. Miami's complete inability to generate defensive pressure against a weak Las Vegas offensive line in Week 1 doesn't bode well for their chances to get pressure on Purdy in Week 2.

Edge rusher Chop Robinson led the Dolphins in quick pressure rate last fall, but has been ruled out for Sunday's action due to a concussion. San Francisco should have plenty of time to find holes against a weak Miami secondary unit.

Mike Evans was a clear focal point for San Francisco's passing attack in their season opener, catching three passes and recording three first downs on the team's opening offensive drive. There is no player in Miami's secondary unit capable of covering Evans in man coverage, which should mean plenty of targets for San Francisco's top receiver.

Playable to 26%.

Dolphins vs 49ers combo

  • Over 44.5
  • Brock Purdy 250+ Passing Yards
  • Mike Evans 50+ Receiving Yards


Dolphins vs 49ers touchdown scorer: Mike Evans

Mike Evans caught one of Brock Purdy's three touchdown passes in Week 1 against the Rams. He tied for the team lead in targets among wideouts and is San Francisco's best red-zone target at 6-foot-5.

Evans has caught 11+ touchdowns in six different NFL seasons since entering the league in 2014 and could be on his way to a seventh such campaign if he can stay healthy in 2026.

Playable to 40%.

Dolphins vs 49ers player prop: Mike Evans 4+ receptions

The 49ers took a 24-7 lead early in the fourth quarter against the Rams in Week 1, which led to a more conservative game script down the stretch than we would have seen in a more competitive contest.

Still, Evans managed six receptions on seven targets in his San Francisco debut, proving early in the season that he is the focal point of the team's passing attack. This is tremendous value in a favorable matchup.

Playable to 60%.

Want more NFL player props? Check out our NFL player prop projections!

Nick Galaida's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 0-1, -1.00 units
  • Combos: 0-1, -1.00 units

Dolphins vs 49ers odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Dolphins +13.5 | 49ers -13.5
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 (52%) | Under 44.5 (49%)
  • Moneyline: Dolphins 11% | 49ers 90%

For the full slate of NFL matchups, check out our NFL odds board!

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Dolphins vs 49ers weather

The forecast for Sunday in San Francisco is uneventful, with the temperature near 70 degrees, no chance of rain, and minimal wind.

Check out our NFL weather page for up-to-date info on every matchup.

Dolphins vs 49ers trend to know

Miami has hit the 4Q game total Over in 10 of its last 16 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI). Find more NFL betting trends for Dolphins vs. 49ers.

How to watch Dolphins vs 49ers

Location Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, Calif.
Date Sunday, Sept. 20, 2026
Kickoff 4:25 p.m. ET
TV FOX

Dolphins vs 49ers latest injuries

Check out our NFL injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Nick Galaida
Betting Analyst

Nick Galaida is a failed high school pitcher who attended Baldwin Wallace University, where he figured out he's better at analyzing sports than playing them.

Following a brief stint in corporate consulting after graduation, he left for the betting industry and hasn't looked back. Over the last 10 years, he's contributed to Phil Steele, RotoGrinders, FTN, Action Network, VegasInsider, PropBomb, FantasyLabs, and Pickswise.

To his friends, he's better known as "The Commish." He covers MLB, NBA, NFL, college football, and the WNBA.

When he's not making a bet or writing about one, he's usually nose-deep in a book — further illustrating that his niche in this world is as a nerd rather than an athlete.

Nick prefers betting at Novig and Kalshi and believes prediction markets are the future of the industry, mostly because exchanges don't punish winners.

You can find all of his plays and more @CommishFilmRoom on Twitter/X.

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