Broncos vs Chiefs Betting Guide: MNF Live Probabilities, TD Props & Expert Picks

C Jackson Cowart - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
C Jackson Cowart • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 14, 2026 , 12:52 PM ET

Our Broncos vs. Chiefs betting guide has everything you need for Monday Night Football, including live win probabilities, touchdown props, expert picks, and more.

Broncos vs Chiefs betting guide, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) scrambles against the Denver Broncos.
Photo By - Denny Medley / Imagn Images via Reuters Connect. Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) scrambles against the Denver Broncos.

NFL Week 1 concludes tonight when the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet at 8:15 p.m. ET (ABC/ESPN) in an AFC West divisional clash from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo.

Our Broncos vs. Chiefs betting guide covers this NFL Week 1 matchup with live win probabilities via prediction market apps, anytime touchdown scorer markets, and our Broncos vs. Chiefs expert picks.

Broncos vs Chiefs probabilities: Who will win?

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Broncos vs Chiefs anytime touchdown scorers

Market Kalshi
Probability
Kansas City Chiefs Kenneth Walker III — 1+ touchdown 51%
Kansas City Chiefs Rashee Rice — 1+ touchdown 36%
Denver Broncos J.K. Dobbins — 1+ touchdown 33%
Denver Broncos Jaylen Waddle — 1+ touchdown 31%
Kansas City Chiefs Travis Kelce — 1+ touchdown 30%
Denver Broncos Courtland Sutton — 1+ touchdown 28%
Denver Broncos RJ Harvey — 1+ touchdown 23%

Broncos vs Chiefs expert picks

Expert Broncos vs Chiefs picks

Explore more Covers picks and coverage for Broncos vs. Chiefs:

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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C Jackson Cowart
Betting Analyst

C Jackson Cowart is a content strategy consultant for Covers with a special focus on big events and research projects. In his seven years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter, he has stayed true to "process over results" while specifically targeting futures betting and news-driven markets, where he can lean on advanced metrics and an understanding of market psychology to attack value before the number moves.

An award-winning writer and editor with a decade of experience in sports media, "C-Jax" has previously worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and multiple large daily newspapers. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he covered the Tar Heels' championship run through the 2017 NCAA men's basketball tournament. He's cashed some big tickets over the years — including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) — but he's still haunted by enough second-place slips to wallpaper his home office.

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