Aaron Rodgers Picks, Predictions & Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

Aaron Rodgers has a chance to do a little stat-padding vs. a soft Cincinnati defense, as our NFL betting picks explain.

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst
Oct 15, 2025 • 09:18 ET • 4 min read
Aaron Rodgers Pittsburgh Steelers NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Aaron Rodgers of the Pittsburgh Steelers in NFL action.

Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers play on Thursday Night Football against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paycor Stadium. 

With Cincinnati’s defense being one of the worst in the league, this is a prime opportunity for Rodgers to ball out. Read more in my Aaron Rodgers odds analysis and NFL picks for October 16.

Aaron Rodgers prop pick

Aaron Rodgers best bet: Aaron Rodgers Over 216.5 passing yards (-110 at bet365)

The Pittsburgh Steelers are off to an impressive 4-1 start this season with Aaron Rodgers under center. The veteran signal caller has managed to have some success, completing 68.8% of his passes for 1,021 yards and 10 touchdowns against three interceptions. 

Pittsburgh takes on a Cincinnati Bengals squad that is 31st in both total yards and passing yards allowed. Rodgers has cashed the Over in passing yards in just two of his five appearances this year, but he most recently threw for 235 yards against the Cleveland Browns. 

Rodgers is starting to find a rhythm, and Cincinnati has shown zero ability to slow down opposing quarterbacks. Jordan Love just threw 259 passing yards against them. Rodgers will follow suit on TNF and have a big game through the air. 

Aaron Rodgers same-game parlay

Aaron Rodgers Over 216.5 passing yards

Aaron Rodgers Over 1.5 passing TDs

DK Metcalf anytime TD

Rodgers has cashed the Over in TDs in two of his last three contests. He threw for two scores in the Week 6 win over the Browns and again, Cincinnati is a nightmare defensively. They’re giving up 30.5 points per game, which ranks 30th in the NFL. 

DK Metcalf may not be putting up massive numbers, but he’s certainly making an impact for his new team. The wideout has a team-high 19 grabs for 356 yards, and most importantly, four touchdowns. 

The superstar pass-catcher has a TD in all but one game this season. Even when Metcalf doesn’t reel in a ton of receptions, he’s still finding a way into the end zone. He’ll keep it rolling against a poor opponent. 

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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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