SMU vs Florida State Computer Picks: Our Best Week 1 Player Prop Projections

Chris Gregory - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Chris Gregory • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 7, 2026 , 01:54 PM ET • 4 min read

Our top SMU vs. Florida State computer picks target FSU's passing attack and SMU's new WR1.

Micahi Danzy Florida State Seminoles ACC college football
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Micahi Danzy during last year's game against Pittsburgh.

The Week 1 college football slate comes to a close, with SMU taking on Florida State in Tallahassee, Fla., tonight, and there are a plethora of SMU vs. Florida State props to choose from.

Our SMU vs. Florida State computer picks highlight the best college football picks on the board, including what should be a big game from Florida State's passing attack at home.

SMU vs Florida State computer picks for Week 1

SMU SMU Florida State Florida State
Kevin Jennings u264.5 passing yards
54%
Ashton Daniels o216.5 passing yards
45%
Kendrick Raphael u16.5 rushing attempts
58%
Ousmane Kromah o56.5 rushing yards
54%
Yamir Knight o55.5 receiving yards
51%
Micahi Danzy o41.5 receiving yards
54%
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SMU computer picks

Kevin Jennings Under 264.5 passing yards

Projection: 262.8 passing yards

This is more of a lean than a play, but Kevin Jennings would have to have a great game in a hostile environment to clear this number. In 27 games as SMU's full-time starter, Jennings is averaging just north of 250 yards per game.

🏈 Bet Jennings passing yards now

Kendrick Raphael Under 16.5 rushing attempts

Projection: 11.88 rushing attempts

This is a five-star play in the eyes of the Covers prop projections, and if the game script stays relatively normal, this will be a tough mountain to climb. The Under is juiced (58%) but for good reason.

🔥 Bet Raphael rushing yards now

Yamir Knight Over 55.5 receiving yards

Projection: 68.36 receiving yards

This is a must-bet if you're looking to back the SMU offense. Yamir Knight shared WR2 responsibilities last season and averaged nearly 50 yards per game. He's now getting WR1 treatment and should carve up a FSU defense that's susceptible to explosive plays.

🔥 Bet Knight receiving yards now

Florida State computer picks

Ashton Daniels Over 216.5 passing yards

Projection: 232.51 passing yards

Ashton Daniels threw for just 202 yards against New Mexico State, but projections are calling for a bigger performance tonight. If SMU has a lead like our SMU vs. Florida State predictions suggest, garbage-time yards could be coming the FSU QB's way.

🏈 Bet daniels passing yards now

Ousmane Kromah Over 56.5 rushing yards

Projection: 72.92 rushing yards

This might be the best play on the board, with more than 15 yards of separation between this 56.5-yard total and the projection. Kromah ran for 115 yards and a touchdown on 8.2 yards per carry in Week 0, and should see a similar workload (14 carries) tonight.

🔥 Bet Kromah rushing yards now

Micahi Danzy Over 41.5 receiving yards

Projection: 45.74 receiving yards

This is only a slight lean to the Over, but with projections high on the FSU passing attack in this game, the receivers will have to eat. Micahi Danzy is one of them, and he caught four balls for 51 yards in the opener last weekend.

🔥 Bet Danzy receiving yards now

More SMU vs Florida State picks from Covers


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Chris Gregory Covers.com
Betting Analyst

In his four years on the Covers editorial team, Chris Gregory has helped bolster the site’s golf and college football coverage. He brings a journalism and marketing background to his work as a Publishing Editor and can be found across our site covering the Masters, college football futures, and more.

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