An AFC North rivalry is the TNF matchup tonight, as the Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cincinnati Bengals, in a game that would make Father Time proud with 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers facing 40-year-old Joe Flacco.
Our NFL player prop projections have identified the best TNF prop values for tonight, including a breakout for the Bengals' RB1.
Steelers vs Bengals computer picks for Thursday Night Football
 Steelers |
 Bengals |
|---|---|
| Rodgers o216.5 pass -110 | Flacco o0.5 rush +100 |
| Warren o52.5 rush -110 | Brown o45.5 rush -110 |
| Metcalf o63.5 rec -110 | Chase u6.5 catches +125 |
| Smith o27.5 rec -110 | Fant o26.5 rec -115 |
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Steelers TNF computer picks
Aaron Rodgers Over 216.5 passing yards (-110)
Projection: 228.75 yards
Our projections indicate Rodgers will top this number for the second straight game against a suspect Bengals defense.
Alternate-total bet
225+ yards (+110) - This price shows decent value.
Jaylen Warren Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 57.31 yards
Warren has flirted with 50ish yards each of his last three games, and we expect him to finish just above that tonight.
D.K. Metcalf Over 63.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 69.2 yards
D.K. has posted 83+ yards in three of his five games so far, and while we're not projecting that high a total, we expect him to top a modest yardage line.
Jonnu Smith Over 27.5 receiving yards (-110)
Projection: 32.52 yards
Aaron Rodgers loves using his tight ends, and our projections forecast a solid night from Smith.
More Thursday Night Football picks from Covers
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Bengals TNF computer picks
Flacco Over 0.5 rushing yards (+100)
Projection: 1.48 yards
It's not pretty, but Flacco has at least one rushing attempt in three of his five games... and we only need one yard.
Chase Brown Over 45.5 rushing yards (-110)
Projection: 59.23 yards
Brown has topped 40+ yards in four of six games this season, and we're expecting him to comfortably go beyond his total tonight.
Alternate-total bet
50+ yards (+120) - Shows tremendous value. Also getting solid value on 60+ yards at +225.
Ja'Marr Chase Under 6.5 receptions (+125)
Projection: 6.27 receptions
Chase has finished with six or fewer catches in four of six games, and he's projected to finish below that again vs. a strong Steelers secondary.
Noah Fant Over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)
Projection: 28.18 yards
We're projecting Fant to finish right around his total, just going slightly above.
Not intended for use in MA.
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