College Football Parlay Picks for Week 7: Oregon & Washington Lock Horns in Pac-12 Battle

It’s a sneaky loaded Week 7 of college football on Saturday with worthwhile games to watch from noon to dusk, headlined by a pair of big battles involving Pac-12 programs that will have major ramifications on the Heisman race.

With so many big games, there’s plenty of college football odds to get excited about, and while one Pac-12 showdown for a top spot in the conference has my eye for my same-game parlay pick this weekend, another has piqued my interest. It’s not all about the west coast this week though, with a fun ACC matchup between two schools coming off very different Week 6 games sprinkled into my parlay pick.

Keep reading to find out what parlays I’ll be playing this Saturday in my free college football picks for Week 7.

Week 7 college football parlay picks

• North Carolina -3.5 + UCLA/Oregon State Under 54 (+264)
• Penix Under 358.5 passing yards + Nix Over 18.5 rushing yards + Oregon +3.5 (+400)

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

Best college football parlay Week 7

North Carolina -3.5 (-110)
UCLA/Oregon State Under 54 (-110)

+264 at bet365

Things couldn’t have gone worse last week for Mario Cristobal and his Miami Hurricanes program. Not only did they lose to ACC bottom-feeder Georgia Tech, they could have kneeled out the clock and won… talk about mismanagement. 

Meanwhile, North Carolina continued its undefeated season by blowing out a Syracuse program that came into the game 4-1, thanks to an all-time performance from likely Top-3 NFL Draft pick Drake Maye.

These teams are on very different trajectories as they get set to square off in primetime Saturday night in Chapel Hill.

Fairly evenly-matched teams, both rank Top-25 in EPA per play on offense and Top-45 in EPA per play on defense, the difference is the consistent quarterback play of Maye vs. Miami’s Tyler Van Dyke. 

The Hurricanes quarterback is coming off a three-interception game against the Yellow Jackets and going head-to-head with one of the most talented vertical passers in the country. And while Miami’s secondary has future NFL players, it sits 43rd in EPA per pass on defense.

Maye has the advantage, especially with Devontez Walker recently ruled eligible and joining a strong group of pass catchers. The emergence of running back Omario Hampton (461 rushing yards) will only help Mack Brown’s program control the clock.

Where things will get even more tricky for a Miami team that’s coming off a devastating loss is against the Tar Heels pass defense, which sits 12th in EPA per play.

Jumping to the other side of the country, there’s so much going on in the Pac-12 this weekend that nobody is talking about a Bruin fighting a Beaver in a no-rules cage match. UCLA is 4-1 and just beat a ranked Washington State program and now must head to Corvallis to take on an Oregon State program that beat a Top-10 Utah team just a few weeks ago.

These are two Top-20 teams that pride themselves on running the ball and playing hard-nosed defense, which makes the Under very interesting.

With a freshman quarterback in Dante Moore, Chip Kelly’s program hasn’t been able to get much going with the passing attack and sits 114th in EPA per pass, and 105th in EPA per play on the season. That means plenty will be on the plates of running backs Carson Steele and TJ Harden.

For Jonathan Smith, he’d rather run the ball with the two-headed monster of Damien Martinez and Deshaun Fenwick and play ball control offense. The Beavers have been one of the most efficient rushing attacks this season and sit fourth in EPA per rush.

Defensively, UCLA is as good as it gets thanks to a loaded defensive line full of future NFL Draft picks. They’re third in EPA per play on defense, 10th in EPA per pass, and third in EPA per rush. This will be trench warfare between the Bruins D-line and Beavs O-line.

The clock will be running, pads will be popping, and nobody will be scoring over 26 points.

Best college football SGP Week 7

Michael Penix Under 358.5 passing yards (-115)
Bo Nix Over 18.5 rushing yards (-115)
Oregon +3.5 (-140)

+400 at bet365

The must-watch game of Week 7 is supposed to be an offensive explosion between a pack of Huskies and a hoard of Ducks, but with the pacific northwest being known for its rain, it should be a wet one in Seattle.

Ducks and Huskies can both swim, but I’ll take the Ducks to tread water longer in my same-game parlay. Mainly because they have been the most efficient team in the country top to bottom and Michael Penix Jr. is going to have a harder time than usual throwing the rock all over the field.

While Penix Jr. has only thrown for less than 358.5 yards once this season, the forecast is calling for a cold rainy game and Oregon’s pass defense has been one of the best in college football.

The Ducks are ninth in EPA per pass on defense, but can be run on with their defense being just 71st in EPA per rush. That should encourage Kalen DeBoer and Ryan Grubb to go to the ground a little more frequently 

On the flip side, Oregon is a dominant all-around offense sitting second in EPA per play, ninth in EPA per pass, and first in EPA per rush. Against a Huskies defense that’s not been able to stop the run, 82nd in EPA per rush, but hasn’t had to given Washington’s big leads, Bo Nix’s legs will give them trouble.

Nix has only been pressured 15 times this season and hasn’t needed to use his mobility much in the designed run game because of the leads the Ducks have built quickly. In a rainy game, the Heisman candidate will be asked to run more and should go Over 18.5 rushing yards for the tenth time in his last 19 games; he’s averaged 33.1 rushing yards per game at Oregon.

With the Ducks strength in the trenches, speed at the skill positions, and the rain being a major factor, Oregon should keep it close at Husky Stadium.

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