Oregon vs USC Computer Picks: Our Best Week 4 Player Prop Projections

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 26, 2026 , 02:30 PM ET • 4 min read

Our system offers five-star value picks on Messiah Hampton and more ahead of Oregon vs. USC.

Messiah Hampton Oregon Ducks NCAAF
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Messiah Hampton of the Oregon Ducks.

Our Oregon vs. USC computer picks are here to help you add some value-driven selections to your card.

Our system sees Messiah Hampton going off on Saturday, Sept. 26.

For more free college football picks, read Rob Paul's Oregon vs. USC predictions.

Oregon vs USC computer picks

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Oregon Oregon USC USC
Moore o271.5 pass yds
55%
Maiava o263.5 pass yds
54%
Davison u69.5 rush yds
45%
Jordan o36.5 rush yds
50%
Hampton o32.5 rec yds
56%
Simms o28.5 rec yds
Trade Now
Johnson o39.5 rec yds
61%
Bowman o33.5 rec yds
Trade Now

Percentages courtesy of ProphetX, one of the best prediction market apps.

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Oregon computer picks

Dante Moore Over 271.5 passing yards

Projection: 276.8 yards

This is a four-star play according to our college football prop projections, with a 12.1% EV edge. 

Dante Moore is a Heisman Trophy odds candidate and has already cleared this line twice in 2026. 

🔥 Trade MoorE passing yards now

Jordon Davison Under 69.5 rushing yards

Projection: 63.1 yards

Our computer is bullish on Oregon passing/receiving props, but bearish on Jordon Davison's potential rushing output.

Although Davison has gone Over this prop twice in three games in 2026, he fell short of it in five of six to end the 2025 campaign, including a 50-yard day vs. USC last season.

🏈 Trade Davison rushing yards now

Messiah Hampton Over 32.5 receiving yards

Projection: 45.2 yards

This is our system's top prop for the Oregon vs. USC rivalry game, with a 27.2% EV edge.

Messiah Hampton caught two touchdowns and amassed 71 receiving yards in an 84-0 drubbing of Portland State last week. He just missed this line when he gathered 31 yards in his collegiate debut vs. Oklahoma State in Week 2. 

🔥 Trade Hampton receiving yards now

Jamari Johnson Over 39.5 receiving yards

Projection: 46.5 yards

Oregon Ducks tight end Jamari Johnson is being tabbed for Over 46 receiving yards on Saturday, making this prop a four-star play.

Johnson missed the last two games, but amassed 57 receiving yards on four catches vs. Boise State in his season debut. He played a key role in Oregon's playoff run in 2025, clearing this line all three times.

🔥 Trade Johnson receiving yards now 

USC computer picks

Jayden Maiava Over 263.5 passing yards

Projection: 270.1 yards

There is a 4.3% EV edge associated with this play.

Maiava is 3-1 to this line in 2026, with the lone miss coming by just three yards. He owns an incredible 12-1 TD-INT ratio through four games this season.

🔥 Trade Maiava passing yards now

Waymond Jordan Over 36.5 rushing yards

Projection: 43.1 yards

Our computer is calling for USC tailback Waymond Jordan to beat this line by over six yards, making this a four-star selection.

Jordan cleared this bar in three straight prior to a 26-yard outing vs. Rutgers last week.

🔥 Trade jordan rushing yards now

Corey Simms Over 28.5 receiving yards

Projection: 40.3 yards

Corey Simms is projected to crush this line, and that's why this is a five-star play with a 25.8% EV edge.

Simms is 3-1 to this line in 2026, posting a season-high 72 yards in the win over Rutgers in Week 3.

🔥 Trade Simms receiving yards now 

Mark Bowman Over 33.5 receiving yards

Projection: 37.7 yards

Our system sees USC tight end Mark Bowman beating his receiving-yard line by over four yards, so this is a four-star play.

Bowman is averaging 40 receiving yards on the campaign.

🔥 Trade Bowman receiving yards now  Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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