Miami vs Texas A&M Best Bets, Predictions & Picks for Today, December 20

Miami leans into its biggest edge as a potential path to an upset over Texas A&M, while we break down our best bets and predictions for this first-round CFP matchup.

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst
Dec 20, 2025 • 10:30 ET • 4 min read
Mark Fletcher Miami Hurricanes NCAAF
Photo By - Imagn Images. Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. (4) carries the ball.

The Miami Hurricanes are in the College Football Playoff, though few would envy their assignment as they head on the road to face the Texas A&M Aggies in a hostile environment.

Our Miami vs. Texas A&M predictions lean on Miami’s biggest advantage and see this first-round Playoff matchup producing at least one outright upset.

Miami vs Texas A&M CFP predictions

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Miami vs Texas A&M best bets

Miami Miami +3.5 (-122 at FanDuel)

A more cautious betting analyst would be arguing for Miami at +3.5, especially as long as that hook exists.

Instinct says it will fall to +3 before Saturday’s kickoff.

Miami/Texas A&M Under 48.5 (-118 at FanDuel)

Faith in two defensive lines is faith in an Under, isn’t it?

These are two offenses that prefer to throw the ball, both dropping back nearly 5% more often than an average team would in a given game state, but the stakes may prompt some early conservative play calling.

If leaning toward an Over, perhaps wait until after a low-scoring first half, and then catch a deflated number.

Miami vs Texas A&M TD pick

Miami Mark Fletcher anytime touchdown (+175 at FanDuel)

Let’s talk about the Mark Fletcher side of things. All the junior does is find the end zone, doing so 11 times this season despite dealing with various injuries along the way.

That’s a continuation of last season when he went dancing nine times, bringing his touchdown count up to 20 in his last 23 games played. That kind of consistency draws my attention.

Many view Texas A&M as a scary matchup due primarily to the defensive front led by Cashius Howell (14 TFLs). The thing is, Miami has a very capable offensive line (second in front seven havoc) and is uniquely poised to offset A&M’s front. 

Miami may not light up the scoreboard, but the numbers indicate that the Hurricanes should find some offensive success. If they do score several touchdowns, there’s a pretty good chance that Fletcher gets one of them, so I’m all over this +175 price.

Miami vs Texas A&M prop pick

Texas A&M KC Concepcion Over 58.5 receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel)

For much of the year, the attention has gone to wideouts KC Concepcion and Mario Craver when discussing this Texas A&M Aggies passing game.

Although Ashton Bethel-Roman has emerged across the last five games with 277 receiving yards and four touchdown receptions, the redshirt freshman left the Texas game injured and was viewed with a notable limp in practice this week. 

The onus should be on Concepcion and Craver this week, with a special emphasis on the latter. The NC State transfer leads the Aggies in targets (93), receptions (57), receiving yards (886), and touchdowns (9). He’s pushed his way up NFL Draft boards with his play, and will hope for another opportunity to make scouts drool in the CFP. 

Miami’s defense is sound on a down-to-down basis, but it has a penchant for allowing big plays (101st in explosiveness). Concepcion is used as a field stretcher (12.7 aDOT) and has been remarkably efficient this season (2.71 yards per route run), so he has the talent to win this matchup.

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Miami vs Texas A&M odds

Miami vs Texas A&M game info

Location: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Date: Saturday, December 20, 2025
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN & ABC

Miami vs Texas A&M latest injuries

Miami vs Texas A&M weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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