The Florida State Seminoles are heavy favorites to win their first ACC Conference game of the season when they visit the Stanford Cardinal.
Cardinal quarterback Ben Gulbranson has been racking up the passing yards, and my Florida State vs. Stanford predictions expect another solid passing game.
Read on for my college football picks for Saturday, October 18.
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Florida State vs Stanford prediction
Florida State vs Stanford best bet: Ben Gulbranson Over 215.5 passing yards (-114)
Stanford Cardinal quarterback Ben Gulbranson should see massive passing volume Saturday against a Florida State Seminoles defense built to stop the run that is vulnerable through the air.
The Seminoles allow just 78 rushing yards per game, forcing opponents to attack downfield, where they’ve given up 11 passing touchdowns and an average of 11.8 yards per completion.
Gulbranson has quietly found his rhythm, throwing for 225+ yards in three straight games, and he’ll likely surpass 35 attempts here with Stanford playing catch-up.
Yes, the Cardinal offensive line has struggled, allowing over three sacks per game, but that only increases the chance of quick throws and big-yardage opportunities once protection breaks down.
With FSU expected to build an early lead, Gulbranson should have every opportunity to pile up passing yards against a secondary that tends to soften late.
Florida State vs Stanford same-game parlay
Stanford tight end Sam Roush has cleared his receiving yards prop in three straight games.
Micah Ford has cleared his rushing yards prop in four of his six previous games, but the game script and the stout Seminoles' front seven will likely stymie the Toms River product.
Florida State vs Stanford SGP
- Ben Gulbranson Over 215.5 passing yards
- Sam Roush Over 30.5 receiving yards
- Micah Ford Under 43.5 rushing yards
Our deep-ball SGP: TEASER
Sam Roush has scored touchdowns in two of his previous three games and meets a Florida State stop unit that’s already allowed 11 through the air.
The Seminoles have failed to cover the spread in three straight. Stanford is 2-0 straight up and 1-1-0 ATS at home, and covering -17.5 points is a big ask on the road for FSU.
Florida State vs Stanford SGP
- Ben Gulbranson Over 215.5 passing yards
- Sam Roush Over 30.5 receiving yards
- Micah Ford Under 43.5 rushing yards
- Sam Roush anytime touchdown
- Stanford +17.5
Florida State vs Stanford odds
- Spread: Florida State -17.5 (-110) | Stanford +17.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Florida State -1000 | Stanford +650
- Over/Under: Over 54.5 (-110) | Under 54.5 (-110)
Florida State vs Stanford trend to know
Florida State has only covered the Spread in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.65 Units / -30% ROI). Find more college football betting trends for Florida State vs Stanford.
How to watch Florida State vs Stanford
| Location | Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA |
| Date | Saturday, October 18, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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