Auburn vs Alabama picks and predictions for November 28

Nov 24, 2020 |
Auburn vs Alabama picks and predictions for November 28
The Crimson Tide have lost two of the last three Iron Bowls, as 3.5 and 6-point favorites. Oddsmakers don't expect them to falter this year, as they are more than three-touchdown chalk.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports
The Crimson Tide have lost two of the last three Iron Bowls, as 3.5 and 6-point favorites. Oddsmakers don't expect them to falter this year, as they are more than three-touchdown chalk.
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

One of the greatest rivalries in college football returns this week as the Auburn Tigers visit the Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2020 edition of the Iron Bowl.

Alabama has been without a doubt been the more successful program over the last decade, but Auburn has gotten the better of the Tide in two of the last three Iron Bowls. Things could be a little tougher on the Tigers this time around, as they are 24.5-point underdogs in this year’s matchup.

Let’s check out our best college football free picks and predictions for Auburn at No. 1 Alabama, with kickoff set for Saturday, November 28 at 3:30 p.m. ET, at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa.

Auburn Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

Weather

It could a wet and cloudy day for the Iron Bowl. The forecast is calling for showers early in the day but they are expected to taper off before game time. Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with minimal wind. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key Injuries

Auburn: Alec Jackson OL (Questionable), Brodarious Hamm OL (Questionable), Tank Bigsby RB (Questionable), K.J. Britt LB (Out).
Alabama: Slade Bolden WR (Questionable), Jaylen Waddle WR (Out).
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

Home field has meant something to bettors in the Iron Bowl, as the team at home is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Find more NCAA betting trends for Auburn vs. Alabama.

 

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

Yes, Auburn upset Alabama 48-45 as 3.5-point underdogs last season and won 26-14 as 6-point dogs in 2017. But there are some important things to note here.

Last season, Alabama had already been essentially eliminated from the College Football Playoff, after their loss to LSU, and had lost starting QB Tua Tagovailoa to injury. Mac Jones came in and played well, but came up just short.

Meanwhile, Alabama took the 2018 meeting 52-21 as 25.5-point favorites. At home. In a year they were undefeated. See some similarities here?

The Crimson Tide are 7-0 (5-2 ATS) and have their sights set on another national championship. They have arguably the best offense in the country and a defense that is improving each week.

Jones is in the thick of the Heisman race, completing 77.1 percent of his passes for 2,426 yards and amassing 18 touchdowns against just three picks. Even with WR Jaylen Waddle out for the year, Jones still has one of the most dangerous receiving corps in the country, led by Devonta Smith and John Metchie III, along with the luxury of having RB Najee Harris in the backfield. While Auburn is allowing just 22 points per game, this is not the Tigers defense of old, ranking 65th against the pass and 64th against the run in terms of yards allowed per game.

The Tigers come into this game at 5-2 (4-3 ATS) and winners of three in arrow, might have even more issues on offense. QB Bo Nix continues to battle his accuracy on a week-to-week basis, and now star running back Tank Bigsby is questionable to play with a hip injury. 

Alabama will be just too much for Auburn to handle in this game, and the talent discrepancy will eventually overwhelm the Tigers as Jones gets his revenge. Roll Tide.

PREDICTION: Alabama -24.5 (-110)

 

Over/Under Pick

The total for this game sits at 62 as of Tuesday afternoon and that number just sticks out as a little too low. Now, this is the highest total for the Iron Bowl in recent memory, as last year’s total was 51 and the highest in the last 10 years was 58.5 (2010).

Welcome to SEC football in 2020.

It would be a shock if Alabama wasn’t able to drop 40 points in this game. Auburn has been able to limit points this season by creating turnovers, but Alabama doesn’t make a whole lot of mistakes. On top of that, Auburn hasn’t faced an offense anywhere as good as Alabama’s, yet the defense is still giving up a lot of yards.

That means you would need just 20 points or so out of Auburn for this one to go over. While Nix has his issues, he can still make plays at times and the Crimson Tide defense is still giving up more yards than they would like through the air and they haven’t been great on third down.

Don’t expect the 91 points that last year’s Iron Bowl featured, but these SEC rivals should still take down this total. Bet the Over.

PREDICTION: Over 62 (-110)

First Half Spread Pick

Alabama has started games this season with a bang. The Crimson Tide rank third in the nation in first-quarter scoring at 26.7 points per contest (it is, however, for teams that have played at least five games this season).

On the other side, Auburn is a little slower out of the gate, putting up just 13.1 first-half points per game and that drops to 11.0 on the road. Take the Tide two have a two-touchdown lead heading into the break.

PREDICTION: Alabama -13.5 (-119)

Auburn vs Alabama Betting Card

  • Alabama -23.5 (-110)
  • Over 62 (-110)
  • Alabama -13.5 First Half Spread (-119)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA Auburn vs. Alabama picks, you could win $57.07 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Football?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbooks, including NCAA football point spreads, Over/Under totals, derivative bets and even prop plays as well. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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