“Memphis Bleek” wasn’t just Jay-Z’s buddy in the early 2000’s. It’s also the state of basketball for Penny Hardaway’s program as the AAC schedule winds down.
The Memphis Tigers are mired in a four-game slide and sit at 12-15 with just four games left in the regular season. If the Tigers are going to get right (and possibly save Penny’s job), it starts with a solid showing against the Wichita State Shockers tonight.
Defense is the name of the game for UofM, and my Wichita State vs. Memphis predictions and college basketball picks see points at a premium inside FedExForum Thursday.
Wichita State vs Memphis prediction
Wichita State vs Memphis best bet: Under 147 (-116)
The Wichita State Shockers and Memphis Tigers have contrasting styles, with WSU running in a much lower gear than Memphis.
That slows the pace of this contest and makes for a defensive grinder between two teams ranked Top 70 in defensive rating. They met in late January, with Wichita State winning 74-59 — staying well below the closing total of 145.5 points.
The Tigers protect the paint and get their heels above the 3-point arc while the Shockers stymie transition attacks and limit fast break buckets.
Most game models have the final tally at 141 points or lower.
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Wichita State vs Memphis same-game parlay
This total has ticked up since opening, running up from as low as 143.5 O/U at some books. I’m buying back the move, with these teams able to counter each other’s strengths and game models all coming in well below the total. Keep an eye on the GTD status of Memphis big Aaron Bradshaw.
Wichita State hits the glass hard, and Memphis gives up too many boards, especially offensive rebounds. Karon Boyd averages almost six rebounds, and projections call for six or more boards tonight.
Julius Thedford has been a bright spot in a dark time for UofM. He’s put up 11 or more points in five of the last seven games while shooting almost 56% from the floor. Some models call for 11+ points tonight.
Wichita State vs Memphis SGP
- Under 147
- Karon Boyd Over 5.5 rebounds
- Julius Thedford Over 10.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: “Shocking” in Memphis
If you don’t get the title of this SGP, you need more Marc Cohn in your life. Given the contrasting trajectory of these programs, WSU finally winning at FedExForum shouldn’t be a shocker.
Wichita State vs Memphis SGP
- Under 147
- Wichita State moneyline
- Karon Boyd Over 5.5 rebounds
- Julius Thedford Over 10.5 points
Wichita State vs Memphis odds
- Spread: Wichita State +1 | Memphis -1
- Moneyline: Wichita State -105 | Memphis -115
- Over/Under: Over 147 | Under 147
Wichita State vs Memphis betting trend to know
The Tigers are 2-5 Over/Under in the last seven meetings with Wichita State at home. Find more college basketball betting trends for Wichita State vs. Memphis.
How to watch Wichita State vs Memphis
| Location | FedExForum, Memphis, TN |
| Date | Thursday, February 26, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV |
ESPN2 |
Wichita State vs Memphis key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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