The Wisconsin Badgers welcome the No. 10 ranked Michigan State Spartans to the Kohl Center on Friday night.
Both teams are coming off wins against No. 8 Illinois but MSU hasn't played since Saturday, giving legendary coach Tom Izzo more time to prepare for this matchup. That's one reason why my Michigan State vs. Wisconsin predictions are backing the visitors.
Here are my best free college basketball picks for this Big Ten clash on February 13.
Michigan State vs Wisconsin prediction
Michigan State vs Wisconsin best bet: Michigan State -2.5 (-110)
The Wisconsin Badgers have some huge road wins on their résumé but are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. Meanwhile, the Michigan State Spartans are 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four trips to Madison.
MSU struggles with turnovers against teams that pressure ball-handlers. However, Wisconsin ranks 316th in opponent turnover rate so Jeremy Fears will have time to orchestrate the offense.
The Badgers offense relies heavily on threes and sits outside the top 200 in offensive rebounding rate. They'll struggle to score against an elite Spartans defense that holds foes to 30.8 3PT% and dominates the glass.
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Michigan State vs Wisconsin same-game parlay
Wisconsin guard Nick Boyd has knocked down fewer than 1.5 threes in 11 of his last 18 games. In losses to BYU, TCU, Nebraska, Villanova, Purdue, and USC, Boyd went a combined 6-27 (22%) from deep.
Wisconsin struggles on the offensive glass while Spartans forward Jaxon Kohler ranks 13th among high-major players in defensive rebounds. Kohler averages 9.1 rpg and is coming off a 16-board performance against an Illinois squad that rebounds at a high level.
Michigan State vs Wisconsin SGP
- Michigan State -2.5
- Nick Boyd Under 1.5 threes
- Jaxon Kohler Over 8.5 rebounds
Our beyond the arc SGP: Fears fuels offense
Fears leads the country with 9.1 apg and racked up 15 assists in his last contest. He's dropped 9+ dimes in four of his last five games and will have time to set up his teammates with Wisconsin's lack of pressure.
Michigan State vs Wisconsin SGP
- Michigan State -2.5
- Nick Boyd Under 1.5 threes
- Jaxon Kohler Over 8.5 rebounds
- Jeremy Fears Over 7.5 assists
Michigan State vs Wisconsin odds
- Spread: Michigan State -2.5 | Wisconsin +2.5
- Moneyline: Michigan State -150 | Wisconsin +125
- Over/Under: Over 147.5 | Under 147.5
Michigan State vs Wisconsin betting trend to know
The Spartans have covered the spread in six of their last nine games on the road (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Michigan State vs. Wisconsin.
How to watch Michigan State vs Wisconsin
| Location | Kohl Center, Madison, WI |
| Date | Friday, February 13, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
Michigan State vs Wisconsin key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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