Florida State has returned to .500 on the season, and the Seminoles will look to extend their late-season push with a sweep of rival Miami.
Meanwhile, the Hiurricanes are still chasing an ACC Tournament double-dye and will want revenge in Tallahassee tonight.
Here’s why Malik Reneau could be pivotal for the Canes in my Miami vs. Florida State predictions and college basketball picks for Tuesday, February 24.
Miami vs Florida State prediction
Miami vs Florida State best bet: Malik Reneau Over 6.5 rebounds (-110)
Miami Hurricanes forward Malik Reneau grabbed just three rebounds against Virginia, but he should bounce back against a Florida State Seminoles team that ranks 272nd in that metric since January 1.
The Hurricanes rank among the Top 15 in both offensive and defensive rebound rate this season, with Reneau posting an 18.1% defensive rebound rate during ACC play.
FSU makes just 33% from deep, yet over 47% of the Seminoles' shots come from beyond the arc, and they operate at a Top 25 tempo.
That combination means more missed shots for the Noles and more rebounding opportunities for the Canes.
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Miami vs Florida State same-game parlay
Reneau’s increased rebounding should also boost his chances of eclipsing his points prop, given his hefty 29.8% usage rate during ACC play.
Florida State doesn’t force many turnovers, and the Hurricanes hold a size advantage inside. Reneau should excel against a Seminole team allowing ACC opponents to convert 60.2% of shots near the rim, with the faster tempo providing even more scoring opportunities.
Miami vs Florida State SGP
- Malik Reneau Over 6.5 rebounds
- Malik Reneau Over 17.5 points
Our beyond the arc SGP: McCray's in Play
Speaking of high usage, Robert McCray is the focal point of everything FSU does. He’s recorded an assist rate of at least 35% in nine of his last 11 games and has scored 19 or more points in six of his last nine outings.
Miami ranks among the worst teams in college basketball in 3-point defense and allows a high assist rate. Expect McCray to have a big game as he looks to lead the Seminoles to victory.
Miami vs Florida State SGP
- Malik Reneau Over 6.5 rebounds
- Malik Reneau Over 17.5 points
- Robert McCray Over 18.5 points
- Robert McCray Over 4.5 assists
Miami vs Florida State odds
- Spread: Miami -2.5 (-105) | Florida State +2.5 (-115)
- Moneyline: Miami -140 | Florida State +120
- Over/Under: Over 153.5 (-110) | Under 153.5 (-110)
Miami vs Florida State betting trend to know
Florida State has cashed the moneyline in seven of its last nine games (+12.15 Units / 72% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Miami vs. Florida State.
How to watch Miami vs Florida State
| Location | Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL |
| Date | Tuesday, February 24, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ACCN |
Miami vs Florida State key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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