On Thursday, January 28, the SMU Mustangs host the Memphis Tigers at 8:00 p.m. ET at SMU Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas. These teams met Tuesday in Tennessee, when Memphis earned a 76-72 victory as a 2.5-point home favorite.
Will this one end up with a similar result? Keep reading our Memphis vs. SMU picks and predictions to find out.
Memphis Tigers at SMU Mustangs Betting Preview
Memphis: G Alex Lomax (questionable)
SMU: No injuries to report.
Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
SMU is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games against teams with winning road records. Find more NCAA betting trends for Memphis vs. SMU.
NCAAB Sharp Money and Line Movement ReportBy Patrick Everson
Southern Methodist opened -3.5 at FanDuel late Wednesday night and has spent most of today at -4.5. That's where the number is as of 5:30 p.m. ET for an 8 p.m. ET tipoff, with 63 percent of point-spread bets on underdog Memphis, while point-spread money is running dead even. The total went from 142.5 to 141.5 this morning, where the number remains, with the Over attracting 60 percent of bets/54 percent of money.Check out the full line movement for this game
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
Memphis beat SMU just a few days ago, yet the Mustangs are favored in this game. That means the oddsmakers aren’t all that concerned about the Tigers winning this one, as most bettors will simply look at the head-to-head results and back the team that won the first time they played. Also, until a recent stretch of good play, this Memphis team was really struggling. That makes it hard to know which one we’ll see the rest of the season.
One thing that’s for sure is that Memphis’ 140th-ranked offense in adjusted offensive efficiency (according to KenPom.com) likely won’t be shooting 47.9 percent from the outside again. And this offense, which struggles to begin with, would be extremely stagnant if Alex Lomax isn’t able to go. He’s questionable for this meeting with SMU, and he was the leading scorer for the Tigers last game.
Another thing that works against Memphis in this game is that SMU’s Kendric Davis, who averages 18.3 points and 7.6 rebounds per game, had only eight points on 4-of-14 shooting from the floor last game. Davis is a much better player than that, so he should be able to get it going tonight.
PREDICTION: SMU -3.0 (-110)
On the season, the Over has hit in seven of the eight games in which SMU has been favored. The last meeting between these teams also comfortably went Over the total, and there’s just no reason to believe these teams will be trying to slow the game down here. If anything, Davis having a better game would allow SMU’s offense to operate at a much higher level. Look for both teams to do their part here.
PREDICTION: Over 142.0 (-110)
Memphis vs SMU Betting Card
- SMU -3.0 (-110)
- Over 142.0 (-110)
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