The Louisville Cardinals and Miami Hurricanes meet in an ACC Tournament quarterfinal rematch from Saturday's regular-season finale, where Louisville won 92-89.
Louisville is still without Mikel Brown Jr., but has thrived with Adrian Wooley as a primary facilitator. Miami offers up the perfect chance for that to continue.
My Louisville vs. Miami predictions and college basketball picks break down why the Cardinals guard will cash in this afternoon.
Louisville vs Miami prediction
Louisville vs Miami best bet
Louisville vs Miami best bet: Adrian Wooley Over 2.5 assists (-120)
Mikel Brown’s extended absence has forced the Louisville Cardinals to get more creative, which has ultimately led Isaac McKneely and Adrian Wooley to facilitate the offense more.
Wooley dropped six dimes in the previous matchup and will be the primary driver on attack-and-kick actions, which is big for multiple reasons.
The first is that the Miami Hurricanes are in the Bottom 20% nationally in defending against such actions. The second? Louisville is due for instant regression after a poor shooting performance yesterday. That action alone is enough for Wooley to exceed such a small number.
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Louisville vs Miami same-game parlay
Plainly, I think Louisville is a better basketball team, but more than that, I think the Cardinals have more advantages to attack.
In some ways, this matchup is worse for Miami with Mikel Brown because you have so much active movement around the perimeter in an area the Canes struggle to defend.
I doubt we’ll see a defensive performance like the one we had against Louisville yesterday, but I expect them to (again) run up a big number on the other side.
Louisville vs Miami SGP
- Louisville moneyline
- Adrian Wooley Over 2.5 assists
Our beyond the arc SGP: Cardinals fly high
I’ll back Isaac McKneely to have a good performance. The shots didn’t fall yesterday, which is, for me, all the reason to expect them to drop today. He’s the primary beneficiary of the attack-and-kick drives, so he leads off my longshot.
I paired that with Malik Reneau. Louisville drew two fouls on him early in the first matchup, and he still finished with 18 points, partly due to a parade to the free-throw line. Imagine if he doesn’t pick up two quick fouls today?
Louisville vs Miami SGP
- Adrian Wooley Over 2.5 assists
- Isaac McKneely Over 2.5 threes
- Malik Reneau Over 17.5 points
- Louisville moneyline
Louisville vs Miami odds
- Spread: Louisville -1.5 | Miami +1.5
- Moneyline: Louisville -125 | Miami -105
- Over/Under: Over 151.5 | Under 151.5
Louisville vs Miami betting trend to know
Louisville has cashed the Under in 13 of its last 19 games for +6.4 units and a 31% ROI. Find more college basketball betting trends for Louisville vs. Miami.
How to watch Louisville vs Miami
| Location | Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC |
| Date | Thursday, March 12, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 2:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
Louisville vs Miami key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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