Blue Jays vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 3, 2026 , 12:14 PM ET • 4 min read

Ernie Clement is dialed in at the dish, and our Blue Jays expert Mike DiStefano believes he can stay hot against Braves starter Grant Holmes.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
TOR
38 %
ATL
62 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Ernie Clement o1.5  Total Bases (+130) Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
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Toronto Blue Jays second baseman Ernie Clement (22) hits a single.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Toronto Blue Jays second baseman Ernie Clement (22) hits a single.

Toronto Blue Jays infielder Ernie Clement has a knack for making contact at the plate, and he is poised for another productive day offensively with Grant Holmes on the mound tonight for the Atlanta Braves. 

That makes Clement Over 1.5 total bases my favorite play for today’s Blue Jays vs. Braves predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, June 3. 

Blue Jays vs Braves predictions

Blue Jays vs Braves best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 bases (+130)

Ernie Clement enters Wednesday's matchup leading the American League with 70 hits while recording a hit in 14 of his last 15 games with a 1.041 OPS.

His hitting profile matches up well against Atlanta Braves starter Grant Holmes, who relies on his slider with a 48% usage rate against right-handed hitters. 

Clement owns a .348 average and a .432 slug-rate against the slider. 

Additionally, Holmes relies on getting consistent whiffs and chases on that slider to get his outs.

That’s hard to do against Clement. 

Clement chases pitches outside the zone more than almost any hitter in baseball at a 44.9% clip; however, Clement sits in the 94th percentile in whiff and 99th percentile in strikeout rating. Which means he’s able to get to balls outside the zone and put them in play, which is why he owns a 75.3% chase-contact rate. 

I’d play Clement Over 1.5 bases up to +120.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Clement’s consistency at the plate has resulted in a 190 WRC+ over his last 15 outings, averaging 2.3 total bases per game. 

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Blue Jays vs Braves same-game parlay (SGP)

Nathan Lukes owns a .440 batting average and a 195 WRC+ in his last 29 at-bats since returning from the IL for Toronto and has cleared his 0.5 hits total in seven straight outings.

Another value bet is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Under 0.5 strikeouts. He’s cleared this total 12 times in his last 15 outings and ranks in the 97th percentile in strikeout rate this season, with just a 13% K-rate against the slider. 

Blue Jays vs Braves SGP

  • Clement Over 1.5 total bases
  • Lukes Over 0.5 hits
  • Gurrero Under 0.5 strikeouts
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Blue Jays vs Braves home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+425)

Holmes has given up 11 home runs this season, including four in his last two starts. 

He’s allowing a lot of hard contact this year, ranking in the 17th percentile in hard hit rate this season, with six homers coming off his fastball. 

Enter Kazuma Okamoto, who leads the Jays with 13 home runs, most of which off four-seamers, and has the hardest hit rate on the team, ranking in the 95th percentile in baseball. 

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 29-30, +3.85 units
  • SGPs: 12-47, +7.60 units
  • HR picks:  9-50, +1.3 units

Blue Jays vs Braves odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +125 | Atlanta -145
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-155) | Atlanta -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (-120) | Under 8 (+100)

Blue Jays vs Braves trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Braves.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Braves and game info

Location Truist Park, Cumberland, GA
Date Wednesday, 6-3-2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV BravesVision, SN1
Blue Jays starting pitcher Patrick Corbin
(2-1, 3.65 ERA)
Braves starting pitcher Grant Holmes
(3-2, 3.95 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Braves latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Braves weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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