Timberwolves vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

With Anthony Edwards sitting to rest a lingering foot injury, Jaden McDaniels will continue seeing his usage rise in the superstar's absence.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 13, 2026 • 09:28 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 9 hrs
MIL
57 %
MIN
43 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Jaden McDaniels o16.5  Points Scored (-115) Jaden McDaniels o16.5 Points Scored (-115)
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Jaden McDaniels Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Timberwolves F Jaden McDaniels (3) with the ball.

With apologies to Minnesota Timberwolves fans living in Milwaukee Bucks territory, Minnesota has a valid reason to be shorthanded at Milwaukee tonight.

Anthony Edwards fought through right foot pain to play six games in nine days; getting the bulk of a week off now is a genuine piece of rest, certainly more so than most superstar absences.

My Timberwolves vs. Bucks predictions and NBA picks know exactly where to focus while Edwards rests at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 13.

Timberwolves vs Bucks prediction

Timberwolves vs Bucks best bet: Jaden McDaniels Over 16.5 points (-115)

Not only has Jaden McDaniels averaged 20.3 points in seven games without Anthony Edwards this season, up from 13.5 points in 31 games alongside the Minnesota Timberwolves superstar, but he has also cleared this prop in five of those seven games. He is more likely to score 20 points (+175 at bet365) than fall short of this points prop, having cleared the 20-point threshold in four of those seven games.

McDaniels takes 10.1 shots per game with Edwards in the lineup, jumping to 14.4 without the MVP candidate. Maybe even more notable, McDaniels’ field-goal percentage rises to 54.5% in that increased usage, up from 51.0%. That jump shows up in his 3-point shooting, too.

McDaniels is a more complete player than given credit for, and that often shows up when the Timberwolves’ best offensive player is on the bench.

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Timberwolves vs Bucks same-game parlay

The Timberwolves are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games without Edwards, compared to 13-17 ATS with him since Nov. 1. As brilliant as Edwards is, Minnesota tends to focus better without him. It will need that focus against Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has scored at least 30 points in five of his last six.

Timberwolves vs Bucks SGP

  • Jaden McDaniels Over 16.5 points
  • Timberwolves +3.5
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Gobert's Absence is Felt

Rudy Gobert has played in all 40 games this season, only to now be suspended due to his egregious number of flagrant fouls, so there is no precedent to cite that an Under is more likely to come in Gobert’s absence. But just as Minnesota focuses better overall when Edwards is out, there is some logic to expect the other Timberwolves to focus better on defense in Gobert's absence.

Timberwolves vs Bucks SGP

  • Jaden McDaniels Over 16.5 points
  • Timberwolves +3.5
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 29.5 points
  • Under 228.5

Timberwolves vs Bucks odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves +3.5 | Bucks -3.5
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves +125 | Bucks -150
  • Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5

Timberwolves vs Bucks betting trend to know

Milwaukee has gone 2-4 against the spread in its last six games, coinciding with Giannis Antetokounmpo’s return to a full minutes workload. The Bucks have also notably cashed four Unders in those six games. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Bucks.

How to watch Timberwolves vs Bucks

Location Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date Tuesday, January 13, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN North, FDSN Wisconsin

Timberwolves vs Bucks latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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