The Oklahoma City Thunder are one win away from joining the New York Knicks in the conference finals, with the Los Angeles Lakers down 3-0.
We've checked our model and found the top NBA player prop projections to help you make your NBA picks.
Hungry for more? Check out our complete Thunder vs. Lakers predictions for May 11!
Thunder vs Lakers computer picks for Game 4
 Thunder |
 Lakers |
|---|---|
| Dort o6.5 points +100 |
Ayton o9.5 points +102 |
| Mitchell u16.5 points -105 |
Reaves u5.5 assists +120 |
| Hartenstein o8.5 points -105 |
Kennard o9.5 points +100 |
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Thunder Game 4 computer picks
Luguentz Dort Over 6.5 points (+100)
Projection: 8.33 points
This is a five-star play according to our model, showing a 25.73% EV edge. Lu Dort is always ready to take a couple of threes if the Oklahoma City Thunder's offense calls for it, and he shoots the long ball at a 37% clip.
He scored 10 points in Game 3, and projections call for a similar Game 4.
Ajay Mitchell Under 16.5 points (-105)
Projection: 14.71 points
Ajay Mitchell has been shredding the Los Angeles Lakers, but our model believes this is two points too high. With OKC sitting as a 12-point favorite, Mitchell might not see as much floor time as normal.
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 8.5 points (-105)
Projection: 9.60 points
The Lakers have no answer for Isaiah Hartenstein. The big man has scored 10+ points in back-to-back games, and our model calls for him to approach that total again.
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Lakers Game 4 computer picks
Deandre Ayton Over 8.5 points (+102)
Projection: 10.65 points
Deandre Ayton looks horrendous out there, but he's still scored 10 points in two of three games against OKC. The Thunder are more than happy with letting him shoot, and he'll get his tonight.
Austin Reaves Under 5.5 assists (+120)
Projection: 5.28 assists
Austin Reaves is a stupendous playmaker, but the Lakers need him to score more than ever. He'll do all he can to help keep L.A. alive, and more shots will result in fewer assists.
Luke Kennard Over 8.5 points (+100)
Projection: 10.06 points
Luke Kennard is one of the best pure shooters in the NBA. He's scored 10+ points in two straight, and it looks like he's found a rhythm again. Nine points are easily obtainable for the guard.
How to watch Thunder vs Lakers Game 4
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Monday, May 11, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime |
Not intended for use in MA.
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