Whether the Western Conference Finals should be considered our real NBA Finals is a moot point. The New York Knicks await regardless.
In the meantime, enjoy every edition of this already-classic series between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder.
Tied at 2-2, this series may tilt tonight. These Spurs vs. Thunder props and NBA picks trust the superstars to lead the way, but both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama will need help in Game 5 on Tuesday, May 26.
Best Spurs vs Thunder props for Game 5
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
Over 7.5 assists | -130 |
 Victor Wembanyama |
Over 3.5 assists | +100 |
| Jared McCain |
Over 11.5 points | -115 |
Game 5 Prop #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 assists
The San Antonio Spurs have kept Shai Gilgeous-Alexander guessing.
Changing defensive looks have left the Oklahoma City Thunder star unsure when to look for his own shot. Of course, Victor Wembanyama’s paint presence doesn't help SGA’s cause.
After taking 23 and 24 shots in the first two games of this series, respectively, Gilgeous-Alexander attempted only 17 and 15 in Games 3 and 4.
That wasn't a result of playing on the road. That was a result of San Antonio’s defense.
To his credit, Shai has kept the ball moving. He has fallen short of this prop in just one game this series, missing by only the hook in Game 4 while averaging 10 assists per game across the four contests.
A basketball intellect should enjoy watching SGA and the Thunder navigate a series where his ball-dominance can't be counted on. A basketball bettor should profit on that reality.
Game 5 Prop #2: Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 assists
Full disclosure: This bet was not on the radar until finalizing that Gilgeous-Alexander assists prop. Seeing Victor Wembanyama’s assists prop not only still at 3.5 but also priced at even money made this an immediate bet.
Wembanyama is not known for his playmaking, yet he has dished out at least three assists in each game of this series while clearing this prop twice. That sentence alone reveals the value in this sitting at +100.
The Thunder should throw big bodies at Wembanyama as this series reaches its peak in an attempt to wear him down. Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and even Jaylin Williams can have their cumulative effect.
But in that process, Oklahoma City risks Wembanyama’s underrated vision.
Game 5 Prop #3: Jared McCain Over 11.5 points
Role players shoot better at home. This is a known and tried axiom in the postseason, one that consistently provides betting value.
Consulting Jared McCain’s home/road splits from this season gets murky, given he was traded halfway through it, and one may wonder when he felt comfortable in Oklahoma City.
However, simply look at his postseason. McCain has shot 46.5% from the field at home this postseason compared to 39.2% from the field on the road. He has hit 13-of-25 (52.0%) from beyond the arc at home compared to 6-of-26 (23.1%) on the road.
McCain caught attention in Game 3 with his 24 points, but his four points in Game 4 seem to have quickly diminished expectations.
With Jalen Williams unlikely to play, McCain will both need to play and need to handle the ball. Given his better shooting in familiar confines, those necessities should work out for the Thunder.
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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