Spurs vs Thunder Computer Picks: Our Best Player Prop Projections for Game 5

Kyle LaRusic - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Kyle LaRusic • Betting Analyst 5+ years betting experience
Updated: May 26, 2026 , 06:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Our Spurs vs. Thunder prop projections call for Chet Holmgren to get back on track at the Paycom Center tonight.

Chet Holmgren (7) reacts after a slam dunk during the third quarter against the San Antonio Spurs.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chet Holmgren (7) reacts after a slam dunk during the third quarter against the San Antonio Spurs.

Victor Wembanyama led the San Antonio Spurs to a massive win on Sunday, and now they hit the road again to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5.

Our NBA player prop projections help you make your NBA picks for this pivotal matchup on Tuesday, May 26.

For more analysis, read our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions.

Spurs vs Thunder computer picks for Game 4

Spurs Spurs  Thunder Thunder
Champagnie o9.5 points
+100
Gilgeous-Alexander u7.5 assists
+115
Harper o9.5 points
-105
Holmgren o13.5 points
+105
Fox o14.5 points
-112
Hartenstein o6.5 points
-130

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Spurs Game 5 computer picks

Julian Champagnie Over 9.5 points (+100)

Projection: 11.06 points

There's no denying Julian Champagnie is running cold, but he's almost running too cold. The wing is getting a plethora of open looks throughout the game, and he's too good a shooter to keep missing them.

Our model calls for him to break the slump tonight.

🔥 Bet champagnie Now at bet365!

Dylan Harper Over 9.5 points (-105)

Projection: 10.16 points

Dylan Harper is blossoming into a young star before our very eyes. While he's taken a bit of a backseat scoring-wise in Games 2 and 3, he surpassed 10+ points in the five games prior.

Expect him to reach that milestone in Game 5.

🔥 Bet harper Now at bet365!

De-Aaron Fox Over 14.5 points (-112)

Projection: 15.87 points

De-Aaron Fox failed to score 15+ points for the first time all postseason in Game 4, but he's still getting the same amount of volume. It was an off night for anyone not named Wemby, and he'll find his touch at Paycom this evening.

🔥 Bet fox Now at bet365!


Thunder Game 5 computer picks

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 7.5 assists (+115)

Projection: 6.79 assists

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will once again be called upon to score with the Oklahoma City Thunder seemingly shorthanded again. San Antonio opted to stray away from double-teaming the MVP last time out, which led to bad shooting nights from his teammates. 

The San Antonio Spurs will take a similar approach and dare SGA to beat them.

🔥 Bet SGA Now at bet365!

Chet Holmgren Over 13.5 points (+105)

Projection: 14.77 points

There's no denying how bad Chet Holmgen played on the road, but he has a chance to shine in front of the home crowd tonight. Our model expects him to return to form, with his team in desperate need of his scoring.

🔥 Bet holmgren Now at bet365!

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 6.5 points (-130)

Projection: 7.75 points

Isaiah Hartenstein continues to make the most of his limited minutes, fresh off a 12-point performance. The Spurs are more than happy with Hartenstein shooting, because that means the ball isn't in SGA's hands. This is a very obtainable number for the big man.

🔥 Bet hartenstein Now at bet365!

How to watch Spurs vs Thunder Game 5

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Tuesday, May 26, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV Peacock/NBC

Not intended for use in MA.
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Kyle LaRusic - Covers
Betting Analyst

Kyle LaRusic joined Covers in 2020 with a Holland College diploma in Journalism and a Mount Saint Vincent Degree in Public Relations. Stints at Amherst News and the Cape Breton Post helped sharpen his skills in a newsroom setting, while working for MSVU and Dalhousie’s athletic departments landed Kyle in his comfort zone.

Kyle has been an avid bettor for over five years, starting with just one Sports Interaction account before discovering both the beauty and importance of price shopping. bet365 and Pinnacle are his go to books, but accounts at 10+ sportsbooks give him an array of options. “Rusty” will bet on anything under the sun as long as there’s value and good reasoning behind it, but NHL and NFL are his two favorite leagues to watch and wager on — especially with friends.

Kyle’s biggest tip for any bettor is simple: gamble responsibly. Only bet what you’re willing to lose and make sure to install a proper bankroll method to keep track of your ROI. If you’re still dwelling on the amount you lost the next day, it’s time to decrease your spending.

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