Raptors vs Pacers Picks and Predictions: Raps Continue Feel Siakam's Absence

The Raptors took an ugly loss last night, but without Pascal Siakam, there's a big void to fill against a Pacers squad that's been overachieving of late. Is there value in the home side? Find out with our NBA betting picks for Saturday.

Nov 12, 2022 • 12:20 ET • 4 min read
Tyrese Haliburton NBA picks
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Raptors head to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face off against the Indiana Pacers in NBA basketball action on Saturday night.

The Raps will try to bounce back from an ugly loss last night as they take on a Pacers squad looking to improve to .500. NBA betting lines opened with the Pacers installed as slim 1.5-point home favorites with the Over/Under at 229.5.

Here are my best free Raptors vs. Pacers NBA picks and predictions for November 12. 

Raptors vs Pacers best odds

Raptors vs Pacers picks and predictions

We know that the Raptors can be competitive without Pascal Siakam since they went 8-6 without their All-NBA power forward last season.

However, you simply can't lose the guy who is leading your team in scoring (24.8 ppg), rebounding (9.3 rpg), and assists (7.7 apg), without a decline in play. 

The Raps were fourth in the NBA with a net rating of plus-7.1 in nine games with Siakam but that number has dropped to minus-4.0 in their last four games without him. 

Now they have to play on the road on the tail end of a back-to-back against a well-rested Pacers team that has covered the spread in six straight contests. I'll back the high-scoring home side at close to a pick'em. 

My best bet: Pacers -2 (-107 at PointsBet)

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Raptors vs Pacers spread analysis

The Raptors are coming off a 132-113 road loss to the Thunder last night and now head to Indianapolis to face a Pacers team that hasn't played since a 122-119 loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday. 

The Raps are 2-2 SU and ATS in their last four games since losing Siakam to an abductor sprain. He isn't the only frontcourt fixture sidelined for Toronto, with Precious Achiuwa  also injured. 

The absences leave the Raptors very thin size-wise forcing them to start second-round rookie Christian Koloko at center. Koloko had a big game defensively against the Bulls on Sunday, but he's a non-factor on offense.

The Pacers are 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last six games. Theydon't have any superstars but they have a solid squad anchored by point guard Tyrese Haliburton, shooting guard Buddy Hield, and center Myles Turner, who all average over 17 points per game.

In addition, sixth-man Bennedict Mathurin has emerged as a Rookie of the Year odds candidate and is averaging 20.4 ppg, giving them scoring depth that will be tough for Toronto to stop.

With those guys filling up the hoop, the Pacers rank eighth in the league in offensive rating. That said, they've been far less impressive on the other end of the floor, where they rank 27th in defensive rating and allow opponents to shoot a sizzling 41.1% from 3-point range. 

Raptors vs Pacers Over/Under analysis

With Haliburton running the show, the Pacers have really picked up their pace from last season and play at the third-fastest tempo in the league.

That fast pace and poor defensive play have resulted in some high-scoring shootouts for Indiana, causing the Over to go 13-5 in their last 18 games. 

That said, the Raptors play at the 22nd-fastest pace in the league and are limiting foes to just 108.7 ppg despite their awful performance last night.

They'll also find it much tougher to put up points without Siakam, who is leading the team in both scoring and assists.

Raptors vs Pacers betting trend to know

The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on zero days of rest. Find more NBA betting trends for Raptors vs. Pacers.

Raptors vs Pacers game info

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana, IN
Date: Saturday, November 12, 2022
Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET

Raptors vs Pacers key injuries


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