Lakers vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Oldfield's prediction: Luka Doncic & Co. take out the undermanned Dubs.

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Feb 28, 2026 • 13:31 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
LAL
43 %
GS
57 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
L.A. Lakers -4.5 (-105) L.A. Lakers -4.5 (-105)
Read Analysis
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77)/

The Los Angeles Lakers don’t look like a team convinced that a deep playoff run is imminent, but a primetime matchup against the Golden State Warriors gives their stars the perfect stage.

Golden State is still without Steph Curry and lacks answers for the Luka Doncic assignment, so my Lakers vs. Warriors predictions point to a big night from the visitors.

Check out my free NBA picks and betting angles for Saturday, February 28.

Lakers vs Warriors prediction

Lakers vs Warriors best bet: Lakers -4.5 (-105)

The Los Angeles Lakers are 4-2 ATS in their past six meetings with the Golden State Warriors, and JJ Redick’s squad comes in with a solid 18-12 SU road record.

Austin Reaves’ return gives the Lakers three elite ball-handlers, and I’m counting on that creating enough quality looks to cover this small spread against a shorthanded Warriors team.

Golden State is still hanging around the play-in race, but they're 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, and the offense struggles without Steph Curry's movement.

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Lakers vs Warriors same-game parlay

We’ve seen plenty of Doncic hero ball this season, but I’m focusing on the other aspects of his game here.

The superstar point guard is coming off consecutive games with 8+ rebounds and has totaled 37 assists over his last four outings. If the Lakers want to prevail, Luka needs to contribute more than just points.

Lakers vs Warriors SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • Luka Doncic Over 8.5 assists
  • Luka Doncic Over 7.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: Press the Klutch

Klutch teammates LeBron James and Draymond Green go head-to-head tonight, and this SGP taps into that matchup. James posted a 20-10-7 stat line against the Warriors earlier this month.

Green hauled in seven rebounds and added six assists in his last outing, and his playmaking will be a key ingredient in a Steph-less offense.

Lakers vs Warriors SGP

  • LeBron James Over 19.5 points
  • LeBron James Over 1.5 threes
  • Draymond Green Over 4.5 assists
  • Draymond Green Over 5.5 rebounds

Lakers vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Lakers -4.5 (-105) | Warriors +4.5  (-115)
  • Moneyline: Lakers -170 | Warriors +145
  • Over/Under: Over 230 (-110) | Under 230 (-110)

Lakers vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Lakers are 23-15 SU against Western Conference opponents this season. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Warriors.

How to watch Lakers vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Saturday, February 28, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Lakers vs Warriors latest injuries

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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