Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Lakers beat the Grizzlies on Friday, and we can expect a similar result tonight.

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst
Jan 4, 2026 • 11:42 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Jan 04 • 9:30 PM ET
LAL
58 %
MEM
42 %
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Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) and Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) walk to the bench during a time out in the second half at Crypto.com Arena.
Photo By - Imagn Images. Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (23) and Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic (77) walk to the bench during a time out in the second half at Crypto.com Arena.

The Memphis Grizzlies and Los Angeles Lakers play a rematch of their Friday game in Los Angeles, as Memphis finishes its brief stay on the West Coast. 

Despite being down two starters, L.A. won the first game, extending the Grizzlies’ losing streak to three.

With Ja Morant questionable, my Grizzlies vs. Lakers predictions and free NBA picks expect the home side to cover on January 4.

Grizzlies vs Lakers prediction

Grizzlies vs Lakers best bet: Lakers -5.5 (-115)

Ja Morant finished with a double-double on Friday, leading the Memphis Grizzlies' unsuccessful upset bid against the Los Angeles Lakers. He also finished with a calf contusion that has him questionable for tonight's rematch. 

Since returning from his pre-Christmas injury, Morant has averaged 23.5 points, 7.8 assists, and hit more than 55% of his shots, while notching two double-doubles in four games. If he can’t go or is slowed by the calf injury, Memphis will find the going even tougher. 

The Grizz have lost their last three, and they've also lost straight up and against the spread in the previous two times they’ve been underdogs. 

The Lakers are playing their fifth straight home game. They’ve won two of the last three ATS and SU, and the last two times they were favorites.

Los Angeles has been playing without a pair of starters since late December. Austin Reaves, second on the team in scoring (26.6 points) and 3-pointers made, is out with a calf injury and won’t play Sunday.

Rui Hachimura, the team’s most accurate 3-point shooter and a 12.7 point scorer, has also been ruled out with a calf injury. The Lakers will also be without backup point guard Gabe Vincent.

The Lakers were without all three in Friday’s game with Memphis and still won, thanks to a big night by former Grizzlies player Jake LaRavia.

Los Angeles will need to rely on its depth to win again, but, especially with Morant slowed, the odds seem in favor of it doing so.  

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Grizzlies vs Lakers same-game parlay

The Grizzlies play at the fourth-fastest pace in the NBA, but the Lakers — who play at the 20th-fastest — are the ones making the Over play in this game.

Los Angeles has gone Over 22 times in 32 games this season, including two straight and four of the last five. Memphis also has back-to-back overs and four in the previous five. 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored 20 in the first game in Los Angeles, continuing a stretch of six double-figure scoring games in the last seven outings.

Only a mid-game hamstring injury that limited him to 11 minutes against Washington in December broke the string. Over his last 10 games, he’s averaging 11.4 points and eight shots per game, up from 7.3 points and 6.5 shots before that. 

Grizzlies vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers -5.5
  • Over 240.5
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

Our "from downtown" SGP: Vanderbilt different

With the Lakers looking for additional production from depth players, Jarred Vanderbilt should see his recent increase in playing time and shooting opportunities continue.

He’s averaging 23 minutes, 4.6 shots, and 6.5 points over his last eight games, up from his season averages prior to that of 17 minutes, 3.4 shots, and 4.3 points.

Grizzlies vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers -5.5
  • Over 240.5
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 8.5 points
  • Jarred Vanderbilt Over 5.5 points

Grizzlies vs Lakers odds

  • Spread: Grizzlies +5.5 (-105) | Lakers -5.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Grizzlies +185 | Lakers -225
  • Over/Under: Over 240.5 | Under 240.5

Grizzlies vs Lakers betting trend to know

The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the game total Over in 36 of their last 57 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Lakers.

How to watch Grizzlies vs Lakers

Location Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date Sunday, January 4, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Southeast Memphis, Spectrum SportsNet

Grizzlies vs Lakers latest injuries

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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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