NASCAR The Great American Getaway 400 Predictions, Odds & Race Picks — Pocono Raceway

Denny Hamlin goes for his eighth career win at Pocono Raceway today. He's one of the most popular betting options for the 2025 rendition of The Great American Getaway 400 after winning the pole.

Eric Smith - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Smith • Betting Analyst
Jun 22, 2025 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Denny Hamlin NASCAR Cup Series
Photo By - Imagn Images. NASCAR Cup Series driver Denny Hamlin stands with the Busch Light Pole Award after winning the pole for The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway.

The NASCAR Cup Series drivers go from "South of the Border" in Mexico City to one of the northernmost stops on the circuit at Pocono Raceway today. The green flag drops just after 2:00 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime. 

Denny Hamlin is among the most popular choices this week following his week off due to the birth of his son, but is the pole sitter on top in our free betting picks for The Great American Getaway 400 on Sunday, June 22? 

Odds to win 2025 The Great American Getaway 400

Driver DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +300
Ryan Blaney +600
William Byron +700
Tyler Reddick +750
Kyle Larson +900
Christopher Bell +1100
Chris Buescher +1200
Carson Hocevar +1200
Chase Elliott +1500
Ty Gibbs +1600
Chase Briscoe +2200
Joey Logano +2500
Alex Bowman +2500
Brad Keselowski +2800
Erik Jones +3000
Kyle Busch +3000
Bubba Wallace +3500
Ryan Preece +4500
Austin Cindric +5500
Ross Chastain +5500

Odds as of 6-22.

The Great American Getaway 400 expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 6-21.

The Great American Getaway 400 pre-qualifying favorites

Denny Hamlin (+450)
Pocono has been his playground. Denny Hamlin has seven wins there, including three of the last eight overall. It would be eight wins and four of the last eight if not for a 2022 DQ.

He was also runner-up twice, including last year, making eight Top-6 finishes in his last 10 Pocono tries. 

Kyle Larson (+550)
Late-race contact battling Hamlin for the win in 2023 relegated Kyle Larson to 20th at the end. Prior to that, he had seven Top-10 finishes in 10 tries, including fifth in 2022 and runner-up in 2021. Larson was 13th last year.

William Byron (+800)
William Byron started second and finished fourth last year after being fourth in both stages. The year prior he led 60 laps from the pole but finished 14th.

Byron has led 95 laps in his last five Pocono starts and has second stage finishes of fourth, first, fifth, third and fourth, respectively, the last five tries.

The Great American Getaway 400 sleepers

Tyler Reddick (+1000)
Tyler Reddick was 11th, ninth, second, second, and sixth, respectively, in his last five Pocono starts. 

Ty Gibbs (+2000)
He finished fifth in his second Pocono start in 2023 after leading four laps. Ty Gibbs finished 27th last year but won the pole and led 21 laps before his engine expired.

Bubba Wallace (+2500)
Bubba Wallace finished 10th last year, 11th the year prior, eighth in 2022, and fifth in 2021, and is back again in a Toyota.

Alex Bowman (+3500)
Alex Bowman won the first doubleheader in 2021 and ran seventh a day later after leading 18 laps. He finished third last year to earn five Top-11 finishes in his last six Pocono starts. 

The Great American Getaway 400 fades

Ryan Blaney (+750)
Prior to last year’s win, four of Ryan Blaney's last six Pocono finishes were 12th or worse, including 33rd in 2022 and 30th in 2023. 

Chase Elliott (+1200)
Prior to the 2022 win that Chase Elliott led only the last lap in, he had no finishes better than fourth, and four of his last six had seen him finish 12th or worse.

He finished 10th in 2023 and ninth last year. Elliott has led 16 combined laps in his last 14 Pocono starts. 

Joey Logano (+1700)
Joey Logano finished fifth last year but was 20th and 35th the last two years prior and has just five Top-5 finishes in 29 tries here. His next-most recent Top 5 here came back in 2016. 

The Great American Getaway 400 prop pick: Christopher Bell Top 5 Finish 

Christopher Bell (+850 outright) is 0-for-7 at Pocono but he also has three Top-6 finishes, including two of the last three. 

Pick: Christopher Bell Top 5 Finish (+130 at DraftKings)

The Great American Getaway 400 field

Brennan Poole will join the 36 chartered drivers in the No. 44 Ford to make it 37 cars lining up for The Great American Getaway 400 this Sunday.

After taking Father's Day weekend in Mexico off to be with his newly-born son, Denny Hamlin has opened as the pre-qualifying favorite for this race at +450. He is a seven-time winner at Pocono Raceway.

Kyle Larson is just behind Hamlin at +550, followed by Ryan Blaney at +750 as he seeks back-to-back victories at this track. William Byron (+800) and Christopher Bell (+850) round out the single-digit options.

Popular motor sports futures odds

The Great American Getaway 400 betting splits

Live Movement (opening to current)

  • Denny Hamlin +475 to +300
  • Carson Hocevar +2500 to +1600
  • Chase Elliott +1500 to +2200

Highest Ticket%

  • Denny Hamlin 10.5%
  • William Byron 7.3%
  • Chase Elliott 6.7%

Highest Handle%

  • Denny Hamlin 19.2%
  • Chase Elliott 9.5%
  • Ryan Blaney 9.2%

Biggest Liabilities

  • Chase Elliott
  • Denny Hamlin
  • Joey Logano

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

Pocono Raceway track analysis

On a triangle-shaped track, the best opportunities for passing are at the end of the three long straightaways. Pocono is annually a pretty straightforward race, with this being a very hard track to actually pass on. 

Short pitting sometimes gains you track position later, but depending on cautions, it could bite you too when factoring in tire life. Some drivers will elect to pit before the end of stages and give up stage points to restart up front at the next stage. 

Toyota has won around 70% of the last 12 Pocono races. They went 1-2 in 2022 before being disqualified. Did the egregious mistake make a difference? It's hard to tell because they’ve been so dominant around the "Tricky Triangle" for the last decade and led 66 of the 160 laps last year.

Ford won last year but had just three cars finish in the Top-10.

  • The eventual race winner failed to lead the most laps in eight of the last 12 races at Pocono, including five of the last six.

The Great American Getaway 400 info

Location: Pocono Raceway, Blakeslee, PA
Date: Sunday, 6-22-2025
Start time: 2:00 p.m. ET
TV: Amazon

Previous The Great American Getaway 400 winners

Denny Hamlin and Kyle Busch have combined to win six of the last eight renewals of this race.

Year Winner
2024 Ryan Blaney
2023 Denny Hamlin
2022 Chase Elliott
2021 Kyle Busch
2020 Denny Hamlin
2019 Denny Hamlin
2018 Kyle Busch
2017 Kyle Busch
2016 Chris Buescher
2015 Matt Kenseth

How to make The Great American Getaway 400 picks

NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Smith - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Eric Smith has over a decade of experience in motorsports. Beginning with Bleacher Report in 2011 to becoming a nationally accredited motorsports journalist, Eric has been featured in numerous publications. His love of the sport helped spark a path to Covers in 2019 as an auto racing analyst providing insights into how to bet and who to be on the NASCAR scene.

NASCAR is a unique sport to wager on with the percentages of a win less than the 50-50 venture of stick-and-ball sports. However, Eric found a method to wager on multiple drivers to come away profitable in the end. His experience in the sport and his aforementioned technique has allowed Eric to decipher pages of data to compute a winner at a 70% clip.

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