🏁Quaker State 400: Key takeaways
- Best pre-qualifying prediction: Carson Hocevar to win (+1567) — "Hurricane" has to be reckoned with on drafting tracks.
- Best pre-qualifying value: Daniel Suarez Top 5 (+456) — This is one of Suarez's best courses.
- Best pre-qualifying prop: Ryan Blaney (-113) over William Byron — No. 12 driver has been much more consistent here.
- Track: Stay on strategy with teammates/manufacturers, and avoid "the big one."
- Weather: Thunderstorm chances abating closer to race time.
Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account
Quaker State 400 odds: Favorites & full field
Check out the full Quaker State 400 field.
| Driver Name |  Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 9% | +1011 |
| Ryan Blaney | 8% | +1150 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7% | +1329 |
| William Byron | 7% | +1329 |
| Kyle Larson | 6% | +1567 |
| Christopher Bell | 6% | +1567 |
| Chase Elliott | 6% | +1567 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6% | +1567 |
| Joey Logano | 6% | +1567 |
| Carson Hocevar | 6% | +1567 |
Odds as of 7-11. Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0-100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
Quaker State 400 predictions (updated Saturday)
- Outright: Carson Hocevar (+1567)
- Top 5: Daniel Suarez (+456)
- Matchup: Ryan Blaney (-113) over William Byron
Who's hot? Who's not?
- 🔥 Chase Briscoe — First last week, second the week before.
- ❄️ Brad Keselowski — 15th or worse in six straight races.
Track breakdown: What wins at EchoPark Speedway?
- The bottom groove is the preferred racing line, as it's easy to make contact with the wall when racing high, but drivers will search wherever they can for momentum when it comes to drafting tracks like this one.
- EchoPark Speedway features one of the longest pit roads in the sport, so any "pass through" penalties are crippling. Two-tire and even fuel-only pit stops are not uncommon here as teams search for an edge.
Key stats & driver profiles to target
- Wins outside the Top 5 starting positions have not been hard to find at Atlanta, relative to other tracks. A Top 5 spot has accounted for only 52.5% of all Atlanta summertime victories.
- Chevrolet has won four of the last five editions of this race.
Drivers to watch
- Carson Hocevar has the best average finish among active drivers at Atlanta since February 2023 (five races), despite the 31st-best average starting spot.
- Joey Logano has led the most laps (347) at Atlanta since February 2023.
Odds movement & market notes
- Don't expect significant odds movement after qualifying considering the nature of draft racing. That said, I wouldn't expect Ryan Blaney to drift up given his average starting spot of 5.6 over the last five races.
- If you're thinking about backing Shane Van Gisbergen to win his first oval race, wait until after qualifying. He's started no better than 28th in four tries, but finished sixth here back in February.
Outright picks: Winner predictions
Pick: Carson Hocevar to win (+1567)
Going for his second straight drafting track win.
- Track Fit: Has hit the Top 10 in three straight here.
- Recent Form: No Top 10s in four straight, but those results don't really apply.
- Market Value: +1200 or better is fair.
Risk: Just one all-time win in the Cup Series.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-11.
Best top finish predictions
Pick: Daniel Suarez to finish Top 5 (+456)
Don't sleep on Suarez here.
- Track Fit: Top 5 in four of last six visits.
- Recent Form: Similar to Hocevar, I'm not weighing it heavily.
- Market Value: Playable at +350.
Risk: Only two Top 5s in 2026.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-11.
Best matchup & head-to-head props
Pick: Ryan Blaney (-113) over William Byron
Blaney has navigated this track much better than Byron of late.
- Matchup Advantage: Blaney has one wreck from 16 starts here, Byron has four in 14.
- Key Stat: Blaney has run Top 10 in seven of his last eight at this oval.
Risk: Chevrolet has won four of the last five editions of this race.
Pick made on Saturday, 7-11.
Start trading with Kalshi today!
Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS20' and get a $20 trading bonus after you trade $20 on any other event contracts — including this market!
*Eligible U.S. locations only
How to watch the Quaker State 400
| Location: | EchoPark Speedway, Hampton, GA |
| Date: | Sunday, July 12, 2026 |
| Start time: | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV: | TNT |
Check out the full weekend schedule for the 2026 Quaker State 400.
EchoPark Speedway weather
There's a 75% chance of thunderstorms during the afternoon, but only a 35% chance at race time. A potentially "green" track may necessitate a "competition caution" to assess tire wear during Stage 1.
Previous Quaker State 400 winners
| Year | Winner | Manufacturer |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Chase Elliott | Chevrolet |
| 2024 | Joey Logano | Ford |
| 2023 | William Byron | Chevrolet |
| 2022 | Chase Elliott | Chevrolet |
| 2021 | Kurt Busch | Chevrolet |
Quaker State 400 FAQs
When is the 2026 Quaker State 400?
The Quaker State 400 will be held on Sunday, July 12 at 7 p.m. ET.
Where will the 2026 Quaker State 400 be held?
EchoPark Speedway (formerly Atlanta Motor Speedway) will host the Quaker State 400.
Who is the 2026 Quaker State 400 favorite?
Tyler Reddick is favored to win the Quaker State 400.
Who won the Quaker State 400 last year?
Chase Elliott won last year's summertime race in Atlanta.
How do Quaker State 400 props work?
In addition to outright win markets, there are "top finish" (Top 3, 5, or 10) and head-to-head matchups to consider.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
