White Sox vs Yankees Prediction, Picks, and Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Carlos Rodon has been lights out on the Yankee Stadium mound and we expect another strong showing from him against the White Sox today. Find out why in our MLB betting picks below.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
May 19, 2024 • 09:55 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Carlos Rodon New York Yankees MLB
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New York Yankees starter Carlos Rodon has been tremendous at Yankee Stadium and is a heavy MLB odds favorite to sweep the Chicago White Sox and righty Chris Flexen.

The Yankees lumber can score runs in droves, but our White Sox vs. Yankees predictions MLB picks expect a low-scoring affair.

White Sox vs Yankees prediction

My best bet
Under 8 (-110 at DraftKings)

My analysis

New York Yankees starter Carlos Rodon is enjoying a terrific season thus far, especially when pitching at Yankee Stadium.

He's gone six frames or more in each of his three home starts. He’s issued four free passes, 17 punchouts, and only four earned runs across 19 1/3 on the Yankee Stadium bump and has a good matchup ahead of him today. 

The Chicago White Sox have scored only a dozen runs across their last five; they’ve walked the least in baseball against lefties with a high strikeout rate (24.5%), and their .251 BABIP vs. lefties doesn’t lend itself to scoring many runs today.

Chicago will counter with righty Chris Flexen. He’s been better than his numbers suggest, especially on the road. Flexen’s 3.71 away xFIP seems to suggest that his four-seamer/cutter combo surrendering five earned runs with 16 punchouts and five earned runs across 18 2/3 away stanzas is legit. 

Flexen will need to be legit as the Bronx Bombers can score runs in droves; they’ve plated 25 runs across their previous five games with the second-most runs (174) and highest wRC+ (+127) in baseball against righties.

While the matchup doesn’t look great on paper, we should be in for a real pitching treat today. Each starter's splits suggest both hurlers are in line for good days; Rodon has been dynamite at home and Flexen's allowed only five earned runs across his three away starts against some good lumber, including one hit across four frames against the Phillies. 

Eight of their previous 10, including both games in this series, have ended Under the number. Expect more of the same on Sunday.

White Sox vs Yankees same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 8

Yankees -1.5 

Aaron Judge to get a hit

I like a low-scoring affair today, but I also like the Yankees to cover the run line. They’ve covered in eight of their last dozen ballgames and Aaron Judge should help them do so again today. 

The Yankees outfielder enters his matchup riding a six-game hitting streak overall and has hit safely in his past seven games at Yankee Stadium. The sample size is small but the red-hot Yankees slugger is 2-3 with a home run against Flexen. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

White Sox vs Yankees odds

White Sox vs Yankees live odds

White Sox vs Yankees opening odds

  • Run line: Chicago +1.5 (+120) | New York -1.5 (-140)
  • Moneyline: Chicago +240 | New York -300
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

White Sox vs Yankees spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Moneyline markets haven’t budged much. The White Sox are trading between +240 and +250 while the Yankees are trading between -300 to -323.   

  • Despite the high odds, 73% of the money at DraftKings has come in on the Yankees. 

  • Over 8 is the predominant market (-110), with one shop reporting Over 8.5 (+104).

  • Under 8 (-110) markets are widely available, while bettors will pay juice as high as -124 for Under 8.5.

White Sox vs Yankees trend

The White Sox have stayed Under the total in nine of their last 11 games (+6.90 units / 57% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for White Sox vs. Yankees

White Sox vs Yankees game info

Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date: Sunday, 5-19-2024
First pitch: 1:35 p.m. ET
TV: NBC Sports Chicago, YES
White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
(2-3, 4.46 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon
(4-2, 3.31 ERA)

White Sox vs Yankees latest injuries

White Sox vs Yankees weather

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