White Sox vs Brewers Picks and Predictions: All-Star Arms Meet in Finale

Chicago will send Lance Lynn to the mound looking to avoid a three-game sweep to the Brew Crew, who are countering with Brandon Woodruff. Find out who we like for this All-Star pitching matchup in our White Sox vs. Brewers picks and predictions.

Posted: Jul 25, 2021 2:06 PM ET Updated: Jul 25, 2021 2:06 PM ET Est Time: 5 min
Lance Lynn Chicago White Sox MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We'll be treated to a fantastic pitching matchup to end Sunday's MLB betting slate, as Cy Young contenders Lance Lynn and Brandon Woodruff collide for the series finale between the Chicago White Sox and Milwaukee Brewers. 

Milwaukee has so far dominated this battle of first-place teams, holding Chicago to a single run in each of the last two contests. With Woodruff getting the ball, the Brew Crew enter the series finale as a large home favorite. 

Can they complete the sweep? Find out with our free MLB picks and predictions for White Sox vs. Brewers on July 25.

White Sox vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Sunday, July 25, 2021
Time: 7:08 p.m. ET
TV: NBCSCH, Bally Sports Wisconsin

White Sox vs Brewers odds

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Starting pitchers

Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.94 ERA): The right-hander is having a sensational first season in Chicago, with career-best numbers in ERA and WHIP to go along with a double-digit K/9 rate. Lynn has allowed a total of three runs over his last four outings and has logged three consecutive quality starts.

Brandon Woodruff (7-4, 2.04 ERA): One half of the Brewers' dynamic 1-2 punch, Woodruff also has career-best numbers in ERA and WHIP as well as a double-digit K/9 rate. Statistically, these two have been close, with a slight edge going to Milwaukee's hard-throwing righty. Woodruff has allowed exactly one earned run in four of his last five starts.

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

White Sox: Eloy Jimenez OF (Out), Jake Lamb 3B (Out), Evan Marshall RP (Out), Yasmani Grandal C (Out), Luis Robert OF (Out).
Brewers: Lorenzo Cain OF (Out), Devin Williams RP (Out), Daniel Vogelbach 1B (Out), Travis Shaw 3B (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

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Moneyline pick

This week's Sunday Night Baseball matchup features two starters who could legitimately end the season with some hardware. Lynn enters the outing third on the AL Cy Young odds board, while Woodruff clocks in at second in the NL behind only an injured Jacob deGrom. What we for sure know is that this should be a terrific showdown between two of the game's best pitchers. 

Woodruff leads all qualified starters in ERA with a mark of 2.04, while Lynn, among pitchers who have thrown at least 90 innings, has the top mark in the AL at 1.94. The only pitcher to reach the 90-inning threshold with a better ERA than either of them is deGrom, who was enjoying a historically great season before landing on the IL for the second time this season.

The Brewers roughed up some good pitching to start this series, scoring seven runs Friday and another six on Saturday. While they only got one across against Lucas Giolito, they got him to issue a season-high five walks and then hung six on the White Sox bullpen before chasing Carlos Rodon after four innings and four runs yesterday. It's a lot to ask of this group to go do that sort of damage again for the third consecutive game with Lynn getting the ball. 

Lynn has allowed exactly one run in each of his three July starts, working at least six innings in all of those outings. While there's no starting pitching advantage for Chicago with Woodruff toeing the rubber, the White Sox have all the value as plus-money road dogs. And we're not about to pass that up. You probably won't get Chicago at a +140 price with Lynn on the mound again this season.

We trust that the AL Central's best can avoid the sweep and end their three-game skid in the process. 

PREDICTION: Chicago (+140)

Over/Under pick

The first two games of this series were a push and today's number is another tough one with the total set at 7.5, which is tied for the lowest on the board today. 

Woodruff has allowed more than three runs in a start only twice this season and one of those came at Coors Field. He doesn't give up much and keeps the ball in the yard (in the Top 10 for the lowest home run rate), and with his ability to generate strikeouts at an above-average rate, he's very difficult to capitalize on.

All of that same stuff can be said about Lynn, too. While Lynn is serving up homers more frequently than Woodruff, he actually has a slightly lower home-run-to-fly-ball percentage and is punching out batters at the second-highest rate of his career. Milwaukee hasn't hit righties well this season, ranking 21st in OPS, and tonight it will be up against one of the best.

The swing-and-miss stuff will continue once these two turn it over to the relievers, too, as both teams have bullpens that rank in the Top 4 in K rate.  

Over the last 30 days, Brewers relievers have allowed the fewest home runs in baseball and have the best ERA at 2.31. While they are out a key piece in Devin Williams, they have a number of capable arms back there who will make for some difficult at-bats.

As for the White Sox, neither of Michael Kopech or Liam Hendriks (two of the best relievers in baseball) have pitched in this series, so it's entirely possible the Brewers will have to go through Lynn and those two power arms to escape with a sweep. That's about as difficult of an assignment as you can get.

With two of baseball's best arms at suppressing runs getting the start and strikeout artists following them up, we're not going to overthink this.

PREDICTION: Under 7.5 (-115)

White Sox vs Brewers betting card

  • Chicago (+140)
  • Under 7.5 (-115)

Picks made on 7/25/2021 at 12:21 p.m. ET

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