The Boston Red Sox head to Citizens Bank Park to start a three-game set against the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, July 21.
Philly has rolling righty Zack Wheeler toeing the rubber, and my Red Sox vs. Phillies predictions and top MLB picks expect him and teammate Kyle Schwarber to do the heavy lifting tonight.
Caesars QuickPick: Our Red Sox vs Phillies same-game parlay (SGP)
Phillies moneyline
Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Roman Anthony Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI
Red Sox vs Phillies prediction
My Red Sox vs Phillies best bet: Kyle Schwarber Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-125 at Caesars)
Red Sox vs Phillies best bet analysis
Philadelphia Phillies masher Kyle Schwarber has teed off on righties to the tune of a .366 wOBA, .265 ISO, and .855 OPS, and he’s up to 70 runs, 91 hits, and 74 RBI for the campaign.
This should prove to be a favorable pitching matchup, too. Boston Red Sox righty Walker Buehler has surrendered a .324 batting average and .386 wOBA to left-handed hitters, after all.
Of course, Schwarber has also hit the Over in this market in nine of 14 July games while posting a monster 1.068 OPS.
Hitting at the top of the Philly lineup has also been a huge boost for his counting stats. The three-time All-Star has hit in the two-hole in 33 of his past 34 games and filled out the box score with 25 runs, 31 hits, and 28 RBI during the stretch.
Schwarber has also posted a monster .407 wOBA, .328 ISO, and .962 OPS during the heater.
Red Sox vs Phillies same-game parlay analysis
The Phillies have a huge pitching advantage in tonight’s tilt, with Zack Wheeler taking a sterling 2.36 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, and 2.62 xFIP to the bump as the betting favorite in the NL Cy Young odds.
It’s been a different story for Red Sox righty Walker Buehler, sporting respective 6.12, 1.56, and 4.72 marks.
Turning to the final leg of this SGP, Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony has had his way with right-handed pitchers. So, while Wheeler is a daunting matchup, I still like Anthony to fill up the box score.
The rookie sports a .387 wOBA, .173 ISO, and .873 OPS against right-handed arms for the campaign, after all.
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Red Sox vs Phillies odds
Red Sox vs Phillies live odds
Red Sox vs Phillies opening odds
- Moneyline: Boston +175 | Philadelphia -210
- Run line: Boston +1.5 (-115) | Philadelphia -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
Red Sox vs Phillies trend
The Phillies have covered the run line in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.10 units / 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Phillies.
How to watch Red Sox vs Phillies and game info
| Location | Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA |
| Date | Monday, 7-21-2025 |
| First pitch | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, NBCS-Philadelphia |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Walker Buehler (6-6, 6.12 ERA) |
| Phillies starting pitcher | Zack Wheeler (9-3, 2.36 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Phillies latest injuries
Red Sox vs Phillies weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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