The Los Angeles Dodgers are -120 favorites Friday night as they play host to the hottest team in baseball, the Boston Red Sox.
With Ranger Suarez at the top of his game and backed by an elite bullpen, my Red Sox vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks believe the value lies with the road team.
Who will win Red Sox vs Dodgers today: Boston Red Sox (+105)
Ranger Suarez has pitched at an elite level this season. He ranks in the 94th percentile in Pitcher Run Value, the 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, and is striking out 9.72 batters per nine innings – the best mark of his career.
There’s every reason to believe he can hold up against the Los Angeles Dodgers, who surprisingly rank 20th in OPS during the month of July.
I give the Boston Red Sox a 54% chance of winning this game, and am happy to take the plus-money price. Bet to -115.
COVERS INTEL: Suarez owns a 2.17 FIP on the road this season, the best mark among today's projected starters.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
Suarez (3.02 ERA, 3.19 xFIP) has posted excellent run suppression numbers and deservedly so.
He has not only done a great job of limiting fly balls, but also homers. Suarez has allowed 0.47 homers per nine innings, and 0.36 HR/9 on the road.
The Dodgers aren't in great form offensively, and that's not handedness specific. Los Angeles slots 18th against lefties in wOBA this month.
I don't see the Red Sox, who are 16th in wOBA vs. righties in July, lighting up the Dodgers bullpen, and that's probably necessary to go Over.
Play the Under to -120.
- ML/RL bets: 65-59, -7.30 units
- Over/Under bets: 68-51-5, +8.49 units
Red Sox vs Dodgers weather
The forecast calls for temperatures hovering around 80 with winds blowing out. Bats will see a boost.
Red Sox vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Red Sox +100 | Dodgers -120
- Run line: Red Sox +1.5 (-200) | Dodgers -1.5 (+165)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)
Red Sox vs Dodgers trend
Los Angeles has hit the Game Total Under in 30 of the last 50 games at home (+815 units, 15% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Red Sox vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, Calif. |
| Date | Friday, July 31, 2026 |
| First pitch | 10:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | NESN, SportsNet LA |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Ranger Suarez (4-3, 3.02 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Edgardo Henriquez (4-1, 2.79 ERA) |
Red Sox vs Dodgers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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