This evening, our MLB player props are rolling with Dominic Canzone, Kyle Schwarber and Kyle Stowers, all in matchups that set up well for production.
Let's take a deep dive into why these guys are catching our eye for the top MLB picks for Wednesday, June 10.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Dominic Canzone |
Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI | -121 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
Home Run/Double | <<+193 | +353>> |
 Kyle Stowers |
Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI | +101 |
Dominic Canzone Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI (-121)
Calzones for everyone, if this cashes! CALZONES!!!
The very first prop I locked in today was Seattle Mariners designated hitter Dominic Canzone to go over his hits, runs, and RBI prop.
Today marks Canzone's 24th elite rating, and he has surpassed this prop in six of his last 10 elite-rated games, per Batters-Box.
Against Baltimore Orioles right-hander Brandon Young, Canzone's matchup wOBA, ISO, hard-contact rate, and fly-ball rate all see significant boosts. Not to mention, he owns tremendous arsenal coverage against Young's pitch mix.
Recently, Canzone has been all over anything left over the plate. Over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, the 28-year-old is producing nearly 60% hard contact with a 27.3% barrel rate, while posting a 1.324 OPS, .857 SLG, and .428 ISO.
On the other side, Young has been getting crushed by left-handed hitters at home, allowing a 40.6% hard-contact rate, a 26.9% ground-ball rate, and a 55.8% fly-ball rate.
If Canzone gets a hold of one tonight, I think it has a good chance of leaving the yard. I'd sprinkle a little on the home run and would play this prop up to -130.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MASN, SEAM
Kyle Schwarber Home Run (+193) | Double (+353)
We are not paying juice on any of Kyle Schwarber's props today. Skip the nonsense, it's home run or double day.
The Philadelphia Phillies slugger finds himself in a great spot against future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer, who takes the mound for the Toronto Blue Jays this evening.
Against Scherzer's pitch mix, Schwarber owns a 70.8% arsenal coverage rate while also carrying an elite rating. Across nearly 250 plate appearances with an elite rating according to Batters-Box, the slugger leaves the yard 28.34% of the time.
Scherzer has allowed plenty of hard contact at home this season, surrendering a 20% barrel rate while sporting an 8.51 xERA. Through 53 left-handed hitters faced, opponents have produced a 14.9% barrel rate and a 76.6% elevation rate. Those lefties also own a .311 xBA, .616 xSLG, and .411 xwOBA against him.
While Schwarber is batting just .240 over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, he continues to square the ball up at an impressive rate, posting 61.5% hard contact. On the season, he owns a 13.51% barrel rate and a 52.94% hard-hit rate against righties.
If we're expecting Schwarber to elevate the baseball in Toronto tonight, let's attack the elevation props and grab the better value.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: SN1, NBCSP
Kyle Stowers Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI (+101)
Big day to be a Kyle, as we’re also backing Miami Marlins young buck Kyle Stowers to go over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at even money.
The 28-year-old checks in with an elite rating on Batters-Box, and he’s been nothing short of consistent in these spots. Across 28 elite-rated games, he has cleared this number 57.14% of the time. He’s also recorded multiple hits in nearly 40% of those contests and has left the yard 21.43% of the time.
The Marlins outfielder gets a matchup against Arizona Diamondbacks right-hander Ryne Nelson, who enters with poor ratings in both matchup ISO and hard contact allowed. Left-handed hitters have given him plenty of trouble this season, posting a nearly 71% elevation rate alongside a .541 expected slugging percentage and .356 xwOBA.
Stowers also has strong arsenal coverage against the fastball-heavy righty. On top of that, he’s seeing the ball extremely well right now, hitting .296 with a .901 OPS and .556 SLG over his last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching. During that stretch, he’s produced a 56.3% hard-hit rate and a 12.5% barrel rate.
I’d do my best to grab this prop at plus money. Getting an elite-rated hitter at plus money to go over 1.5 HRR feels like a gift.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MIAM, ARID
- 2026 MLB Record: 203-351-29, -0.2 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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