Gunnar Henderson and Yordan Alvarez were two of the best hitters in the majors in 2024 before underperforming last season.
Both have rediscovered that form to start the year, creating strong value on their props in favorable matchups tonight.
Here are my best free MLB player props for Tuesday, April 14.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Gunnar Henderson |
Over 1.5 total bases | +100 |
 Drake Baldwin |
Over 0.5 RBI | +165 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
Over 1.5 total bases | -105 |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 total bases [+100]
After finishing fourth in the AL MVP race in 2024, Gunnar Henderson took a step back in 2025.
However, the Baltimore Orioles shortstop is swinging the bat well again, which is why my MLB picks are hammering his total bases prop. Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile in overall offensive talent according to THE BAT X, and he is slugging .691 over the last two weeks.
Henderson will have the platoon advantage at home against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly, with a stiff 13 mph breeze blowing out to the outfield at hitter-friendly Camden Yards.
Kelly is making his season debut after dealing with a back ailment, and he logged a 4.16 xERA across 32 starts last year. The D-backs also have one of the worst bullpens in the majors waiting in the wings.
- Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: DBacks.TV | MASN
Drake Baldwin Over 0.5 RBI [+165]
Drake Baldwin won the NL Rookie of the Year Award last season and has been even better this year.
The Atlanta Braves catcher ranks in the 95th percentile in xSLG (.586) and the 88th percentile in barrel rate. Baldwin leads the Braves with 17 RBI, and he’s driven in a run in nine of his last 14 games.
Baldwin will have the platoon advantage against Miami Marlins right-hander Max Meyer tonight.
Meyer owns a 3.68 ERA through three starts, though his xERA sits significantly higher at 5.42. The right-hander posted a 4.73 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP in 12 starts last season, struggling particularly on the road.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: BravesVision | Marlins.TV
Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 total bases [-105]
After an injury-plagued campaign in 2025, Yordan Alvarez is healthy and playing like an MVP candidate. The Houston Astros slugger is fourth in the majors in slugging percentage (.714), and his expected xSLG is even higher at an incredible .821.
He'll have the platoon advantage against struggling Colorado Rockies hurler Michael Lorenzen, who sports an ugly 6.09 xERA through three starts, ranking in the 11th percentile in hard-hit rate and the sixth percentile in xBA (.323).
Alvarez will also benefit from 15 mph winds blowing out to the outfield at Daikin Park.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Rockies.TV | Space City Home Network
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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