MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, June 21

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 21, 2026 , 09:29 AM ET • 4 min read

Freddie Freeman highlights our favorite MLB player props today.

MLB player props Freddie Freeman
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Freddie Freeman (5) hits a single during the sixth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays

Major League Baseball is offering up a tasty Father's Day slate to attack today.

We've scoured the MLB odds to find three solid plus-money props, highlighted by a favorable matchup for Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Freddie Freeman.

Read on for my favorite MLB player props for Sunday, June 21.

Best MLB player props today

Player  Pick Odds
Mets Travis Bazzana  Over 1.5 total bases +141
Mets Brandon Lowe home run +255
Mets Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases +116
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Travis Bazzana Over 1.5 total bases (+141)

Batting leadoff should give the Cleveland Guardians 2B Travis Bazzana four to five plate appearances against Houston Astros righty Kai-Wei Teng, boosting his chances of clearing 1.5 total bases. 

Bazzana is red-hot, hitting .375 over his last seven games while carrying a strong .845 OPS on the season. He has also excelled against right-handed pitching, batting .327.

Teng is a favorable target, carrying a -6 Run Value on his fastball while allowing lefties to slug .592 against his changeup. 

With a disciplined 22.2% chase rate, Bazzana should force Teng into the zone and get pitches he can drive for extra bases. Play this to +100. 

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Guardians.TV, Space City Home Network

Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 home runs (+255)

Pittsburgh Pirates 2B Brandon Lowe is in an excellent spot to go deep against Colorado Rockies right-hander Michael Lorenzen.

Lowe has already launched 18 home runs while posting an .842 OPS this season, and his underlying metrics remain strong, ranking in the 79th percentile in Barrel Rate and the 83rd percentile in expected slugging percentage (xSLG).

Lorenzen has struggled badly in 2026, carrying a 7.13 ERA and 5.60 xERA while allowing opponents to post a .478 xSLG.

His four-seam fastball, changeup, and cutter all carry negative Run Values, giving a power hitter like Lowe multiple pitches he can punish.

  • Time: 3:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rockies.TV

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 total bases (+116)

Freddie Freeman is in an excellent position to clear 1.5 total bases against Baltimore Orioles right-hander Brandon Young. 

The Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman owns an .834 OPS this season and continues to generate elite contact quality, ranking in the 91st percentile in xwOBA, 88th percentile in xSLG, 75th percentile in Barrel Rate, and 70th percentile in Hard-Hit Rate

The matchup is favorable as well. Young carries a 4.32 xERA with a modest 16.6% strikeout rate, while opponents are batting .389 and slugging .528 against his sinker.

Freeman has crushed sinkers this season, boasting a .340 wOBA with a .404 slugging percentage and a +9 Run Value against four-seamers, making him a strong candidate to cash this total bases prop. Play to -110. 

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MASN, SportsNet LA

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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