MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, May 3

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2026 , 10:23 AM ET • 4 min read

Pete Alonso and Julio Rodriguez have turned up the heat this weekend, and our favorite MLB player props suggest they're poised for more fireworks in today's action.

ulio Rodríguez (44) advances home to score a run.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. ulio Rodríguez (44) advances home to score a run.

The 2026 MLB season is just a month in, but we've already seen some insane performances from the league's elite.

There’s no shortage of MLB player props to consider, and I’m targeting two hitters in the midst of a productive series. 

Check out my Top 3 MLB picks for the May 3 slate.

Best MLB player props today

Player  Pick Odds
Orioles Pete Alonso Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs +100
Cubs Matthew Boyd Over 4.5 strikeouts +102
Mariners Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases -115
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Pete Alonso Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+100)

There’s something about the air in New York for Pete Alonso. The former Met has been one of the bright spots for the Baltimore Orioles in a tough series against the Yankees, and I’m backing him to do more damage today.

Alonso has thumped a solo homer in both outings at Yankee Stadium this weekend, and he’s cashed this combo Over in four of his last five contests, despite a batting average of just .205 this year.

He’s also seen plenty of New York starter Max Fried, racking up seven RBIs, with two homers, against the lefty, and he’ll get scoring opportunities hitting behind a talented Baltimore top order.

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, MASN

Matthew Boyd Over 4.5 strikeouts (+102)

It’s been an injury-hit start to 2026 for Matthew Boyd, but he’s still a key piece for the Chicago Cubs in an NL Central race that’s already looking tight.  

I like this strikeouts prop for the Chicago lefty today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he’s nailed the Over on this number in three of his four starts this season — including 10 Ks in a win over the L.A. Angels on April 1.

Boyd is also boosted by a solid record against some of Arizona’s top hitters. He’s limited Nolan Arenado, Corbin Carroll, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to a combined 2-for-20 mark in prior matchups. Plus, the D-Backs only managed four hits in last night’s 2-0 loss, so the bats aren't exactly scorching.

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Diamondbacks.TV

Julio Rodriguez Over 1.5 total bases (-115)

Julio Rodriguez is a notorious slow-starter, so his early 2026 returns are encouraging for the Seattle Mariners. He’s amassed eight hits across his past four games, including two home runs and four doubles, and I’m buying into that hot streak here.

He’s served up at least two bases in three of his last four contests, and he’s hit all four of his dingers this year off left-handed pitching. That spells trouble for Kansas City Royals lefty Kris Bubic, who’s given up three or more earned runs in three of his past five outings.

Rodriguez posted a .755 OPS in April, and he could take that up a notch this month.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Mariners.TV, Royals.TV
Tom Oldfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 2-6, -4.34 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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