My MLB player props analysis for a busy Saturday slate will focus on two thriving starters and an NL Central slugger.
I'll begin with Walker Buehler, followed by Cristopher Sanchez and Elly De La Cruz.
Find out more in my MLB picks for Saturday, Aug. 29.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
|
|
Under 2.5 earned runs | -146 |
| Under 1.5 earned runs | -102 | |
| Over 1.5 total bases | +131 |

Walker Buehler Under 2.5 earned runs (-146)
Walker Buehler has been dealing. The right-hander owns a 2.33 xERA across his last two starts while limiting opponents to a 25.8% hard-hit rate.
He is also facing a Tampa Bay Rays lineup that isn't in the best form, posting an 88 wRC+ in its last six contests. Buehler has also allowed Under 2.5 earned runs in four straight appearances, and in August, the veteran owns a very solid 2.73 ERA.
He's in line for another quality start this afternoon at Tropicana Field.
Play this pick up to -160.
- Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Padres.TV, Rays.TV
Cristopher Sanchez Under 1.5 earned runs (-102)
Cristopher Sanchez will face a struggling Los Angeles Angels lineup tonight in Orange County, which has compiled a very poor 71 wRC+ in August with just a .103 ISO.
That certainly plays in the left-hander's favor, and Sanchez is throwing it well right now as well. Over five starts this month, he has posted a 2.58 FIP while limiting his walks and home runs. During that span, the southpaw has also held opponents to a mere 4% barrel rate.
More importantly, Sanchez has tossed back-to-back scoreless starts on the road. He'll carve up the Angels.
Play up to -130.
- Time: 10:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Sports Philly, ABTV
Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 total bases (+131)
Elly De La Cruz is raking lately. The shortstop owns a .433 average across his last six games while posting a 47.8% hard-hit rate and 13% barrel rate.
De La Cruz has cashed the Over in total bases in three straight contests, and he's coming off back-to-back three-hit performances. The slugger will face Chicago Cubs righty Kevin Gausman this afternoon, who has pitched well recently, but he is not untouchable.
There is also tons of vulnerability when Gausman exits. The Cubs bullpen has a 5.98 FIP in its last 19.1 frames while surrendering 2.33 HR/9.
Play this pick down to +100.
- Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Marquee Sports Network, Reds.TV
- Prop picks: 10-5, +5.04
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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