The weekend is here, and the 2025 MLB season is closing in on the midway mark with 15 games on the docket this Friday, June 27.
New York Mets superstar Juan Soto is scorching hot, and he headlines my top MLB player props for tonight’s action.
Best MLB player props today
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Soto o1.5 H+R+RBI (-145) -
Pepiot u17.5 outs (+100) -
May o3.5 Ks (-138)
MLB props for June 27
Juan Soto Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-145 at BET99)
New York Mets outfielder Juan Soto has caught fire to lead the majors in OPS (1.245) across his past 26 games while piling up 26 runs, 29 hits, and 20 RBI. He’s hit the Over in this market in 16 of 26, too.
Soto will face Pittsburgh Pirates righty Mitch Keller on Friday, and Keller has surrendered a .265 batting average and .339 wOBA to left-handed hitters over the past three years while sporting a 4.72 ERA.
Of course, Soto also ranks third in wOBA (.410), ISO (.275) and OPS (.968) against right-handed pitchers since the beginning of the 2023 campaign.
Ryan Pepiot Under 17.5 outs recorded (+100 at DraftKings)
The Baltimore Orioles send a respectable lineup to the dish against right-handed arms, and Tampa Bay Rays starter Ryan Pepiot has averaged 98 pitches across his past five starts. Pepiot topped out at 130 innings last season, and he’s already at 94 2/3 to start 2025, so I’m anticipating the heavy workload to begin taking its toll.
Pepiot has been excellent, but his 3.04 ERA is below his 3.82 xFIP, and his 84.7% strand rate is likely to prove unsustainably high. Plus, he’s also surrendered a healthy 41.3% hard-hit rate.
The Orioles sport a .320 wOBA at Camden Yards and .318 mark against righties for the year.
Dustin May Over 3.5 strikeouts (-138 at FanDuel)
Los Angeles Dodgers righty Dustin May has thrown at least five innings in all 14 starts this season and racked up at least four strikeouts 10 times. The consistent workload is the foundation for this nod, and the Kansas City Royals ranking 28th in both wOBA and ISO against right-handed arms is the icing on the cake.
While Kansas City boasting the second-lowest strikeout percentage against righties in the majors is a surface concern, we’re also landing a low total for May. He has traded at a 4.5 or 5.5 strikeout total in 13 of his 14 starts, and the last time he was all the way down at 3.5 was his first outing of the year on April 1.
I also value that his 4.20 xFIP is below his 4.46 ERA, and his 8.24 K/9 and 21.2 K% are both above-average marks among starting pitchers with at least 70 innings.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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