Bucks vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's Prediction: Thunder reserves show up before All-Star Break.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 12, 2026 • 12:29 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
MIL
48 %
OKC
52 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Aaron Wiggins o17.5  Points Scored (+100) Aaron Wiggins o17.5 Points Scored (+100)
Read Analysis
Aaron Wiggins Oklahoma City Thunder NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aaron Wiggins drives to the hoop against the Suns on Wednesday.

With the All-Star Break looming, the Milwaukee Bucks may already be checked out, readying for flights to beaches. The Oklahoma City Thunder, counterintuitively, may be more focused simply as reserves get more opportunities amid injuries.

My Bucks vs. Thunder predictions bet on one of those reserves, not usually seen in NBA picks but now front and center on Thursday, February 12.

Bucks vs Thunder prediction

Bucks vs Thunder best bet: Aaron Wiggins Over 17.5 points (+100)

It should be a surprise if the Oklahoma City Thunder play Jalen Williams tonight after aggravating his hamstring last night in Phoenix.

He has impressed in his two games back from injury, but stressing any muscular issue tonight would be foolish.

In his and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s absences, someone has to handle the ball for OKC. Enter Aaron Wiggins. His last two games as a starter featured 17 and 20 points, both just last week between Gilgeous-Alexander’s injury and Williams’s return.

With them both again sidelined, expect Wiggins to pour it in before heading to a beach for a week.

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Bucks vs Thunder same-game parlay

Isaiah Hartenstein dished out six assists just last night, becoming an offensive fulcrum as the Thunder lose so many playmakers.

Bucks vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder moneyline
  • Aaron Wiggins Over 17.5 points
  • Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Buck Starts Here

As the Bucks tank, Cameron Thomas should prove to be an exception in production, particularly with the All-Star Break looming. Milwaukee’s newest signee needs to impress after spending so much time idling on Brooklyn’s bench this season.

Bucks vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder -13
  • Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 assists
  • Cameron Thomas Over 17.5 points
  • Aaron Wiggins Over 17.5 points

Bucks vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Bucks +13 | Thunder -13
  • Moneyline: Bucks +475 | Thunder -650
  • Over/Under: Over 214.5 | Under 214.5

Bucks vs Thunder betting trend to know

Oklahoma City has gone 2-1-1 against the spread since Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was shut down at least through the All-Star Break. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Thunder.

How to watch Bucks vs Thunder

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Thursday, February 12, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Bucks vs Thunder latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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