Valkyries vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst 19+ years betting experience
Updated: May 21, 2026 , 07:58 AM ET • 4 min read

Breanna Stewart continues her hot hand tonight against the Valkyries.

WNBA

Match starts: 10 hrs
GS
36 %
NY
64 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Breanna Stewart o19.5  Points Scored (-120) Breanna Stewart o19.5 Points Scored (-120)
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Breanna Stewart of the New York Liberty WNBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Breanna Stewart of the New York Liberty WNBA

Breanna Stewart and the New York Liberty return to the Barclays Center after a three-game road trip to host the Golden State Valkyries.

Stewart has been dominant to start the season, and our Valkyries vs. Liberty predictions expect her dominance to continue tonight. 

Read on for our WNBA picks for Thursday, May 21.

Valkyries vs Liberty prediction

Valkyries vs Liberty best bet: Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points (-120)

Breanna Stewart has been the driving force behind the New York Liberty's 3-1 start, scoring at least 20 points in three of her last four outings and showing no signs of slowing down. 

The nine-year veteran is a proven home performer, posting a 50.0 eFG% across 18 home games in 2025, and her usage rate jumps significantly when the Liberty play at home. 

The Golden State Valkyries' defense has been stout, but Stewie scored at least 20 points in three of four career meetings against the Valkyries and is a good bet to dominate them again. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Thanks to the Liberty’s injury issues, Stewart's 2026 usage rate (30.1%) is exponentially higher than her 25% career usage rate.

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Valkyries vs Liberty same-game parlay


Janelle Salaun has scored 20 or more points in two of Golden State's three games, shooting 50% from the field and 50% from the line when given full minutes, as she will tonight. 

Salaun’s scoring aside, the Liberty should win. They own the top overall NET Rating (14.6) with an exponentially better offense and are 18-5 straight up in their previous two seasons at Barclays Center. 

Valkyries vs Liberty SGP

  • Breanna Stewart Over 19.5 points
  • Janelle Salaun Over 13.5 points
  • New York Liberty moneyline

Valkyries vs Liberty first basket scorer: Breanna Stewart +240

Breanna Stewart is the Liberty's offensive anchor and has been their most aggressive scorer at the start of games this season. 

Coming home after a three-game road trip with elevated usage and a point to prove against upstart Golden State, look for Stewie to make her presence felt from the opening tip.

Phil Naessens' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bet: 5-2, +2.66 units
  • SGP: 1-6, -3.10 units
  • First basket: 1-6, -2.50 units

Valkyries vs Liberty odds

  • Spread: Golden State +7 | New York -7
  • Moneyline: Golden State +245 | New York -305
  • Over/Under: Over 169.5 | Under 169.5

Valkyries vs Liberty trend

The New York Liberty are 3-1 on the moneyline in their last four meetings with the Golden State Valkyries. Find more WNBA betting trends.

How to watch Valkyries vs Liberty

Location Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Date Thursday, May 21, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Valkyries vs Liberty latest injuries

Valkyries: Cecilia Zandalasini (Out), Juste Jocyte (Out), Iliana Rupert (Out). 
Liberty:  Satou Sabally (GTD), Sabrina Ionescu (GTD), Leonie Fiebich (Out), Betnijah Laney-Hamilton (GTD). 
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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