MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money October 27

Oct 27, 2020 |
MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money October 27
Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.
Photo By - USA Today Sports
Corey Seager and the Dodgers look to finish off the Rays on Tuesday in Game 6 of the World Series. The SuperBook at Westgate opened Los Angeles a -140 favorite and set the total at 8.5.
Photo By - USA Today Sports

MLB betting odds are on the board and already getting action for Tuesday night’s Game 6 of the World Series at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. The Los Angeles Dodgers can claim their first championship since 1988 with a victory over the Tampa Bay Rays.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s Game 6 and the updated World Series odds. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement through game time. 

MLB line movement 

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Shortly before first pitch, FanDuel is at Dodgers -124/Rays +108, down from an opener of Dodgers -144/+126. The total ticked from 8 to 8.5 a couple of times, but has predominantly been at 8, and that's where it is now.

UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Late Sunday night, The SuperBook opened Game 6 at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and the moneyline is now at its lowest point, Los Angeles -123/Rays +113. The total opened at 8 (Over -120), and that price got to Over -125 in the past half-hour, but the total is now 8 (Under -115).

UPDATE 6:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The Dodgers opened -140 for Game 6 at PointsBet USA, with the Rays +120, and the moneyline peaked at -145/+125. It's now down to Los Angeles -125/Tampa Bay +105. The total is stable at 8, though the price has been mostly shaded toward the Over, currently -115.

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings dipped to Dodgers -139 earlier today, then ticked up a few cents to -143, with the Rays +120 underdogs. The total is pinned to 8, with almost no movement even in the price on the Over/Under.

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: DraftKings opened Game 6 at Dodgers -155/Rays +130 and moved a few cents in just the past few minutes, to -148/+125. The total is stable at 8.

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Clayton Kershaw pitched a solid 5 2/3 innings Sunday night, and Los Angeles earned a 4-2 victory to take a 3-2 lead over Tampa Bay in the best-of-seven World Series. The SuperBook quickly posted the Game 6 line at Dodgers -140/Rays +130, and there was no movement through late Sunday night.

The SuperBook opened the total at 8.5, and the only move Sunday night was a modest price adjustment to Under -115. First pitch is at 8:08 p.m. ET Tuesday.

 

MLB sharp money

Check back for updates on where the sharp bets are coming in for Tuesday’s MLB game.

MLB public betting

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET TUESDAY: As with other books, FanDuel is seeing more action on the underdog tonight, with Tampa Bay taking 66 percent of tickets and 58 percent of cash on the moneyline. And on the total, tickets and money are both running around 9/1 to the Over.

UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: "Consistent Rays action throughout yesterday and today has brought the line down," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said. Tampa Bay is attracting 65 percent of tickets and 62 percent of money. The total has a stronger consensus, with 86 percent of bets/87 percent of tickets on the Over. "The book will be rooting for the Dodgers to close it out tonight and the Under to hit," Eichner said. Among World Series Game 6 prop offerings, Eichner said the most popular play is on a prop bet of either Cody Bellinger or Mookie Betts hitting a home run. PointsBet USA is offering a price booster on that prop, moving it from -125 to -105.

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET TUESDAY: At DraftKings, the Rays continue to draw the bulk of tickets and money, at 66 percent and 62 percent, respectively. The public is more intrigued by the Dodgers -1.5 (+145) on the runline, at 61 percent of bets and 69 percent of money in that market. The public is almost always on board for the Over, and Game 6 is no different, with 82 percent of bets/90 percent of dollars expecting more than 8 runs tonight.

UPDATE 3:15 P.M. ET MONDAY: Early Game 6 action at DraftKings is tilted toward the underdog Rays, who are attracting 63 percent of moneyline bets and 74 percent of moneyline handle. There's more consensus on the total, with 69 percent of bets/80 percent of money on the Over.

Odds to win the World Series

Prior to Game 5, The SuperBook had the series price at Dodgers -200/Rays +175. Now, with Los Angeles one step away from the title, it’s up to Dodgers -650/Rays +475.

Behind the counter, SuperBook oddsmakers would much prefer this matchup get to Game 7 and, from there, Tampa Bay to win.

“The Rays are awesome for us,” SuperBook executive director John Murray said prior to Game 1. “We’re a small loser to the Dodgers.”

Where can I bet MLB odds?

Many online books and casinos offer bets on baseball odds and props. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live.

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