It may be a quiet slate across the Majors today, but I've found value in my MLB player props analysis.
I'm eyeing Max Fried and Zack Wheeler to both deal, while Tristan Peters will stay hot at the dish against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Read more in my MLB picks for Thursday, Sept. 10.
Best MLB player props today
| Player | Pick | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 earned runs | -104 | |
| Under 1.5 earned runs | +104 | |
| Over 0.5 hits | -138 |

Max Fried Under 1.5 earned runs (-104)
Max Fried has been dealing for the New York Yankees. He owns a 2.47 xERA over his last two starts, and the left-hander is consistently limiting damage.
Fried has allowed Under 1.5 earned runs in five consecutive appearances while also pitching deep into games. The 32-year-old gets a favorable matchup against the Colorado Rockies tonight, who have one of the worst lineups in baseball.
Colorado also has a poor 80 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers. Expect Fried to twirl another gem.
Play this comfortably up to -130.
- Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: YES, Rockies.TV
Zack Wheeler Under 1.5 earned runs (+104)
Zack Wheeler has had his struggles at times this season, but the right-hander has found a rhythm, and he's looked unhittable. Wheeler has posted a solid 2.95 xERA over his last two outings with strong command and minimal home run damage.
He has surrendered just one earned run in each of his previous two appearances and now faces a Houston Astros lineup today that has just an 84 wRC+ over the previous two weeks.
Wheeler has also limited opponents to a 22.2% hard-hit rate recently. He's inducing weak contact and pounding the strike zone, making this a perfect spot to keep up his recent dominance.
Play down to -110.
- Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Sports Philadelphia, SCHN
Tristan Peters Over 0.5 hits (-138)
Tristan Peters has been a consistent offensive force for the Chicago White Sox. The Canadian outfielder is batting .400 over the last week, and he's cashed the Over in hits in four of his previous five contests.
Peters will face Jared Jones tonight, and while the right-hander has limited damage lately, he's still allowed a 40.7% hard-hit rate across his last two starts.
Jones has been more vulnerable on the road as well, and the Pittsburgh Pirates' bullpen isn't untouchable, either.
Peters' recent 55.6% hard-hit rate just adds more fuel to this pick.
Play up to -150.
- Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: CHSN, SportsNet Pittsburgh
- Prop picks: 12-12, -1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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