Aaron Judge has had the shortest MLB odds to lead the league in home runs for most of the season, and it still holds true as the All-Star break nears.
However, Cal Raleigh has been on a total heater and is pacing the race.
Let's take a look at the MLB home run title odds for 2025 below.
Odds to win 2025 MLB home run title
| Player |  |
 |
|---|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
-130 | -130 |
 Cal Raleigh |
+170 | +150 |
 Shohei Ohtani |
+300 | +200 |
 Kyle Schwarber |
+3000 | +2500 |
 Eugenio Suarez |
+4800 | +5000 |
 James Wood |
+10000 | +10000 |
 Pete Alonso |
+11000 | +10000 |
 Kyle Tucker |
+15000 | +15000 |
 Oneil Cruz |
+15000 | +20000 |
 Rafael Devers |
+15000 | +15000 |
Odds as of 7-2.
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Latest MLB HR title analysis
Seattle Mariners catcher Cal Raleigh leads all batters with 33 homers. He hit an MLB-best 11 dingers in June, tied with Juan Soto and Eugenio Suarez.
However, Raleigh is still looking up at New York Yankees CF Aaron Judge in this market. It makes sense, as Judge has won this race two of the last three seasons.
Judge is at 30 homers in 2025, tied with Los Angeles Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani.
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Recent single-season home run leaders
Here are each of the last 10 home run champions:
| Year | Player (No. of home runs) |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Aaron Judge (58) |
| 2023 |  Matt Olson (54) |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge (62) |
| 2021 |  Vladimir Guerrero &  Salvador Perez (48) |
| 2020 | Luke Voit (22) |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso (53) |
| 2018 |  Khris Davis (48) |
| 2017 |  Giancarlo Stanton (59) |
| 2016 |  Mark Trumbo (47) |
| 2015 | Chris Davis (47) |
Popular MLB futures markets
Understanding MLB HR title betting odds
Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting on which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American-style odds and usually look like this:
- Pete Alonso +800
This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $800 if Alonso wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:
- Aaron Judge -110
This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Judge winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format check out our odds converter tool.
MLB HR Leader FAQ
New York Yankees OF Aaron Judge is the betting favorite to lead MLB in home runs.
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge led MLB in home runs with 58. It was the second time he's claimed the MLB home run crown.
After slugging 27 home runs in 2024, New York Yankees DH Giancarlo Stanton is the active leader with 429 career long balls. Mike Trout (378) and Paul Goldschmidt (362) are next in line.
The last player to lead the majors in home runs in back-to-back seasons is Jose Bautista, who hit 54 in 2010 and 43 in 2011 as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays.
