There’s a fascinating starting pitching matchup in Chavez Ravine on Tuesday as Nolan McLean and the New York Mets face Yoshinobu Yamamoto and the Los Angeles Dodgers.
See why I’m backing the underdog and the Under with my Mets vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, April 14.
Who will win Mets vs Dodgers today: Mets (+178)
A team with Nolan McLean as their starting pitcher shouldn’t be priced at +186.
The 24-year-old has a 2.23 ERA across 11 starts in the Big Leagues and has flashed elite stuff this season, ranking above the 90th percentile in xERA, xBA, and average exit velocity.
The New York Mets are off to a disappointing start at the dish, but there’s still plenty of talent up and down the lineup.
They could reasonably plate several runs against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who has yet to ramp up to “elite mode” with a pedestrian 3.62 xERA and 20.9% K rate in three starts.
COVERS INTEL: The Mets have below-average surface-level numbers at the plate (.230 AVG, .341 SLG), but underlying metrics indicate that’s somewhat due to bad luck. Their xBA is 16 points higher (.246), and their xSLG is 51 points higher, so better days are ahead.
Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-107)
The league experienced a rash of high-scoring games on Monday, when nine of the 10 games went Over the total. The lone Under? The series opener between the Mets and Dodgers, a 4-0 victory for L.A.
There was favorable hitting weather in just about every other game, but L.A. was an exception then, and it is again on Tuesday with temps in the high 50s to low 60s.
In a game with two tremendous starting pitchers, I’d rather have the Under. Both bullpens have SIERAs under 3.80 and are well rested after combining for just four innings in the opener.
- ML/RL bets: 4-4, +0.38 units
- Over/Under bets: 4-5, -1.26 units
Mets vs Dodgers odds
- Moneyline: Mets XX | Dodgers XX
- Run line: Mets XX | Dodgers XX
- Over/Under: Over XXX | Under XXX
Mets vs Dodgers trend
The Mets have cashed the moneyline in three of their last five road games for a 15% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Dodgers.
How to watch Mets vs Dodgers and game info
| Location | Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Tuesday, April 14, 2026 |
| First pitch | 10:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Peacock |
| Mets starting pitcher | Nolan McClean (1-1, 2.70 ERA) |
| Dodgers starting pitcher | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2-1, 2.50 ERA) |
Mets vs Dodgers latest injuries
Mets vs Dodgers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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