The Los Angeles Dodgers host the New York Mets in Game 2 of the NLCS at Dodger Stadium on Monday. MLB odds have Los Angeles as a moderate -145 favorite, while the total sits at 8.5.
I’ve compiled my three best MLB player props for Game 2. As always, make sure you keep an eye on the odds and available pricing due to the ever-changing nature of the player prop market.
Here are my free MLB picks and Mets vs. Dodgers predictions for Monday, October 14.
Mets vs Dodgers NLCS Game 2 props
- Sean Manaea Over 4.5 strikeouts (-172 at FanDuel)
- Teoscar Hernandez Under 0.5 hits (+133 at Caesars)
- Enrique Hernandez Under 0.5 hits (-108 at Caesars)
Picks made on 10-14 at 9:15 a.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
Mets vs Dodgers props
Prop bet #1: Sean Manaea Over 4.5 strikeouts
Left-hander Sean Manaea takes the mound for the New York Mets on Monday, and I am going to back him in the prop market. He put together a strong regular season, posting a 12-6 record with a 3.47 ERA, and 1.08 WHIP through 32 starts.
His underlying metrics were equally strong, considering that Manaea ranked in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. This success has continued into the playoffs as he is 1-0 through two postseason starts with a 2.25 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
Specifically, we are going to back Manaea to collect five punchouts as he ranks in the top half of the league in both whiff and strikeout rates. He just recorded six strikeouts in his previous outing, and I believe he can do so again in Game 2 of the NLCS.
While the Los Angeles Dodgers possess a tremendous lineup, Manaea is capable of keeping it at bay. The southpaw is 1-0 against the Dodgers over the past two meetings with a 1.50 ERA.
Prop bet #2: Teoscar Hernandez Under 0.5 hits
If we are backing Manaea to limit Los Angeles’ batters, then there should be some hitters we want to fade as well. Enter Teoscar Hernandez, who possesses a .200 BA through 15 career plate appearances against Manaea.
Hernandez’s biggest weakness as a hitter is his inability to avoid striking out, which is why I want to fade him against Manaea specifically. This season, Hernandez ranked in the 10th percentile or lower in both whiff and strikeout rates.
He went hitless in Game 1, and I expect a repeat performance in Game 2.
Prop bet #3: Enrique Hernandez Under 0.5 hits
Sticking with the trend of fading poor contact hitters against Manaea, the other Los Angeles batter to bet against in the same market is Enrique Hernandez. He ranks in the bottom-quarter of the league in xwOBA, xBA, and barrel rate.
Hernandez should also struggle against Manaea. Through 11 career plate appearances against the left-hander, Hernandez owns a .091 BA and .097 xBA.
Regardless of how long Manaea is out there, we should also trust the bullpen that follows him. This season, New York’s relief staff ranked in the Top 12 of the league in both FIP and xFIP.
Not intended for use in MA.
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