MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, May 3

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: May 3, 2026 , 09:13 AM ET • 4 min read

Aaron Judge had a strong April at the dish, and our MLB home run predictions for May 3 believe he'll keep the good times rolling this afternoon.

Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees.

It’s a full slate of MLB action today with 10 hours of baseball and plenty of home runs.

My MLB player props and home run picks focus on Matt Olson, Aaron Judge, and William Contreras.

Keep reading for the full details on my MLB picks for Sunday, April 3.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Reds Aaron Judge +205
Reds William Contreras +540
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Home run pick: Aaron Judge (+205)

When you're discussing MLB picks for home-run hitters, one man is almost always brought up.

April was a vintage Aaron Judge month as the New York Yankees star hit 10 home runs and 17 RBI to go along with a .659 slugging percentage.

Judge finished the month with a homer in three of his last four games, but now hasn’t gone yard in three straight outings. That changes this afternoon against the Baltimore Orioles.

Trey Gibson is set to make his MLB debut for the Orioles after putting up a 4.01 ERA with three home runs allowed over six starts in Triple-A this season.

Baltimore’s bullpen has also allowed 17 dingers, tied for the seventh most in MLB.

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, MASN

Home run pick: William Contreras (+540)

The Milwaukee Brewers don’t have any home run leaders on their roster, but that doesn’t matter too much when they’re playing the Washington Nationals.

The Nats have allowed an MLB-worst 51 homers this season, with starter Zack Littell accounting for 13 of those. In fact, Littell has surrendered at least two dingers in four straight starts.

William Contreras has just three dingers this season (with his last one on Thursday), but the Brewers catcher has been pounding the baseball. Contreras is hitting .308 this year with nine hits and seven RBI over his last three contests.

All three of Contreras’ homers have come vs. right-handed pitching, so I like the matchup.

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Brewers.TV, Nationals.TV

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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