MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Sunday, April 12

Chris Faria - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Faria • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 12, 2026 , 08:43 AM ET • 4 min read

Today's slate of MLB home run picks targets Matt Olson, Josh Bell, and Jordan Walker.

Matt Olson Atlanta Braves MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Matt Olson hits a two-run home run against the Guardians at Truist Park.

It’s another full slate of baseball,  with 15 games and all 30 teams in action.

I’ve narrowed down my top three home run picks to Jordan Walker, Matt Olson, and Josh Bell. Read all the details in my MLB player props for Sunday, April 12.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Cardinals Jordan Walker +710
Braves Matt Olson +320
Twins Josh Bell +520
💲Today's HR parlay +20992
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Jordan Walker (+710)

Jordan Walker has always had pop in his bat, but the fourth-year pro has taken it to another level this season. His six home runs are tied with two others for the most in the majors, and equal his total over 111 games last season.

The St. Louis Cardinals outfielder has gone yard in four of his last five games, and he’ll enjoy a favorable matchup vs. the Boston Red Sox starter.

Brayan Bello has a massive 9.00 ERA and 2.50 WHIP over two starts, with righties batting .333.

  • Time: 2:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NESN, Cardinals.TV

Matt Olson (+320)

Matt Olson is on a heater with a multi-run dinger in two of his last three outings.

The Atlanta Braves slugger has gone yard in four of his last nine games, and I like his matchup against this Cleveland Guardians pitching staff tonight.

The Guardians have given up 19 home runs in just 15 games this season — the third most in the majors.

Tanner Bibee hasn’t pitched beyond the fifth inning in any of his three outings, while Cleveland’s bullpen has allowed 10 homers, tied for the third most by any team.

  • Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBC/Peacock

Josh Bell (+520)

It’s been a great start to the season for Josh Bell, who leads the Minnesota Twins with 12 RBI and co-leads the team with three home runs.

The first baseman will get plenty of good looks this afternoon against a banged-up Toronto Blue Jays pitching staff.

Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Jays after giving up a home run in each of his first two starts of the season. Toronto’s bullpen has also been brutal, allowing 10 dingers and an MLB-worst 70 hits.

  • Time: 1:37 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Sportsnet, Twins.TV
Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 1-2 +2.2 units

Today’s HR parlay

Cardinals Jordan Walker Bet Now
+20992
Braves Matt Olson
Twins Josh Bell

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Faria - Covers
Betting Analyst

After writing a few pieces for the Varsity newspaper during his time at the University of Toronto, Chris Faria's career in sports truly began in 2019 when he attended the sports journalism program at Centennial College. Since then, he’s covered virtually every sport under the sun, having written for several different outlets including Covers and the Canadian Olympic Committee. A lifelong hockey fan and player, Chris currently works full-time for the National Hockey League.

Outside of hockey, he’s also an avid poker player and mixed martial arts fan, which is coincidentally his favorite sport to bet on – usually in the form of a parlay on bet365. The main lesson he’s learned from years of betting is bankroll management: "Never bet more than you’re comfortable losing and never chase your losses."

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