Another full slate of games across the big leagues means plenty of value in my latest home run props and MLB player props, headlined by Eugenio Suarez, Matt Olson, and Ben Rice.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, May 30.
- UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
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Home run pick: Eugenio Suarez (+402)
Although Eugenio Suarez has just three homers this season, we all know the power the Cincinnati Reds veteran possesses, and tonight's matchup plays in his favor.
Suarez will face Atlanta Braves' left-hander Martin Perez, and he's 6-for-11 lifetime against him with a bomb.
Perez is also far from a ground-ball pitcher. The southpaw has a 55.5% air rate on contact, and Suarez is also a hitter who tends to get under the baseball.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FOX
Home run pick: Matt Olson (+254)
Matt Olson has smacked 15 home runs in 2026, including six in May. He'll face the struggling Brady Singer tonight, who has given up a mind-boggling six homers across his last two starts.
Left-handed hitters are batting .385 against the Cincinnati Reds starter, and 10 of his 14 bombs surrendered are against lefties as well.
That’s good news for Olson, who happens to be 4-for-12 lifetime off Singer with a pair of long balls. Singer is in the fourth percentile in xSLG at .535, and his hard-hit rate sits at 44.3%, one of the worst marks of his career. 59.9% of his contact has also been in the air.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: FOX
Home run pick: Ben Rice (+336)
Ben Rice is emerging as an AL MVP candidate, ranking fourth in the Majors with 17 home runs. The New York Yankees' first baseman is scorching hot right now, going 9-for-14 across his last three games, and Rice left the yard on Friday against the Athletics.
J.T. Ginn doesn't allow a ton of homers, but he's substantially worse at home, sporting an ERA over 5.00. Opponents have a .551 xSLG against Ginn's sinker, and lefties also own a .617 xSLG vs Ginn in May.
- Time: 10:05 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: YES Network, NBC Sports California
- HR picks: 6-42, -11.08 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Bet Now +6876 |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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