MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, April 18

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 18, 2026 , 10:32 AM ET • 4 min read

Find out why Quinn Allen is targeting Ian Happ to hit a dinger today, and much more.

Ian Happ Chicago Cubs MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Ian Happ of the Chicago Cubs.

We have a busy Saturday across the big leagues, and that means lots of opportunities for baseballs to leave the yard.  

My MLB player props and home run analysis will include Aaron Judge and Ian Happ. 

Read all about it in my MLB picks for Saturday, April 18.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR Odds
Yankees Aaron Judge +220
Cubs Ian Happ +590
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Aaron Judge (+220)

Aaron Judge may be hitting just .240, but his power numbers are already heading in the right direction.

The reigning AL MVP has clubbed eight home runs in 20 games. He’s gone deep in two of his last three contests, and although he was kept in the yard on Friday, Judge still smacked a double. 

The New York Yankees face the Kansas City Royals again today, and Judge will face Noah Cameron. He’s 1-for-3 against the left-hander with a long ball.

Cameron has surrendered two homers already, and Judge has gone deep four times off southpaws in 2026. 

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Royals.TV, YES

Ian Happ (+590)

Ian Happ is a player with pop in his bat, going deep 20+ times in each of the last three seasons. He’s on track for a fourth in ‘26, clubbing five home runs through the first few weeks.

Happ will be looking forward to today's matchup against New York Mets righty Freddy Peralta. 

While he’s only 4-for-37 off Peralta, three of those hits have been bombs. He left Wrigley in the series opener on Friday, and Happ has three homers off right-handed pitchers.

Peralta has had trouble with the long ball too, surrendering three in just four starts.

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, MARQ
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 4-17, -2.32 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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