It’s another busy day of baseball across the Majors, with eight games on the schedule.
My MLB player props home run analysis will highlight Aaron Judge, Vladimir Guerrero Jr, and Yordan Alvarez.
Read on for my MLB picks for Friday, March 27.
Best MLB home run props today
| Player to hit a HR | Odds |
|---|---|
 Aaron Judge |
+240 |
 Vladimir Guerrero Jr |
+350 |
 Yordan Alvarez |
+360 |
| 💲Today's HR parlay | +6173 |
Aaron Judge (+240)
The reigning American League MVP had a season debut to forget on Wednesday evening. While the New York Yankees beat the San Francisco Giants 7-0, Aaron Judge was 0-for-5 with four strikeouts. However, I’m eyeing him to bounce back tonight.
After a day off, these two teams clash again, and the Giants throw Robbie Ray at the Bronx Bombers. The Yankees slugger is 3-for-8 lifetime against Ray, and all three of those hits have been home runs.
Judge is the MVP for a reason. He’ll respond and take the left-hander deep.
- Time: 4:35 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: ESPN
Vladimir Guerrero Jr (+350)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr had a bit of a down year when it came to the home run last year, smacking just 23. However, we all know how capable he is of leaving the ballpark. The Toronto Blue Jays kick off their season tonight against the Athletics, who send Luis Severino to the bump.
Guerrero has swung it well against his Team Dominican teammate. He’s 5-for-14 versus the right-hander, with a home run. 17 of his long balls in 2025 were off righties, and he smacked 12 bombs at the Rogers Centre.
He could make some noise this evening in Toronto.
- Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: NBC Sports California, Sportsnet
Yordan Alvarez (+360)
Yordan Alvarez’s ‘25 campaign was basically lost due to injuries, but we cannot forget how dangerous a hitter he is. The Cuban has serious power. There’s a reason he clubbed 30+ homers in four straight seasons between 2021 and 2024.
The Houston Astros take on the Los Angeles Angels tonight, and they face a former teammate, Yusei Kikuchi. The left-hander has always been home run-prone, and Alvarez, in particular, has destroyed him. He’s 10-for-28 lifetime with three bombs.
While Kikuchi doesn’t give up a lot of homers to left-handed batters, Alvarez is an exception. He’s rarely been able to get the slugger out.
- Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: Apple TV
- HR picks: 0-3, -3.0 units
Today’s HR parlay
| Aaron Judge |
Bet Now +6173 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. |
|
| Yordan Alvarez |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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