Giants vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

JD Yonke - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 10, 2026 , 11:10 AM ET • 4 min read

Yonke's prediction: Shane Baz & Co. outlast San Francisco at Camden Yards.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
SF
41 %
BAL
59 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u8.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Shane Baz (34).
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Shane Baz (34).

The San Francisco Giants head east for a three-game weekend series with the Baltimore Orioles.

Friday’s series opener sees Landen Roupp get the nod for the visitors and Shane Baz take the bump for the home team.

See why I’m backing the hosts in my Giants vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks for April 10.

Who will win Giants vs Orioles today: Orioles (-125)

The Baltimore Orioles have an edge in starting pitching, the bullpen, and hitting, so I’m backing the home team as a slight favorite against the San Francisco Giants tonight.

San Francisco has been the worst team in the league against RHP (61 wRC+), and Baltimore has been slightly above average (104). The Orioles bullpen has posted a 3.94 FIP, compared to 4.47 for the Giants.

Baltimore right-hander Shane Baz’s velocity is up half a tick, and his 104 Stuff+ is encouraging, while San Francisco starter Landen Roupp has struggled with walks (3.97 per nine innings) and allowed seven runs to the Mets in his previous start.

Covers COVERS INTEL: These Giants hitters have 17 career at-bats against Baz, during which they’ve managed just two hits while striking out seven times.

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Giants vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-110)

These are two quality starting pitchers, as Roupp owns a 1.37 FIP, while Baz isn’t far behind at 2.88.

San Francisco has been miserable at the plate and now has to travel across the country and face a tough opponent. It doesn’t project as a breakout spot.

Baltimore has been on a prolonged Under stretch, going 13-22 O/U in its last 35 games dating back to last season.

JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 3-3, +0.25 units
  • Over/Under bets: 3-4, -1.16 units

Giants vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Giants +105 | Orioles -125
  • Run line: Giants +1.5 (-200) | Orioles -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-110) | Under 8.5 (-110)

Giants vs Orioles trend

The Giants have lost 18 of their last 30 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Giants vs. Orioles.

How to watch Giants vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Friday, April 10, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Giants starting pitcher Landen Roupp
(1-1, 4.22 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Shane Baz
(0-0, 4.09 ERA)

Giants vs Orioles latest injuries

Giants vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

JD is a diehard college football fan with five years of experience writing betting and fantasy content for publications such as SportsGrid, Fantasy Points, Fantrax, and Devy Watch. An avid reader, he uses his inclination to look at things with an exhausting and in-depth, analytic viewpoint combined with a love for statistics and metrics to form a well-rounded handicapping approach.

e's an integral member of the niche (but growing!) college fantasy football community, twice traveling to Canton, OH for the Fantasy Football Expo as a member of the CFF King's Classic drafting squad. His specialization in college football DFS and prop betting taught him that there are exploitable markets to be found and that narrowing your focus is integral to being a profitable bettor.

A lifelong Californian who grew up playing baseball, basketball, football, and lacrosse, he's glad to share a passionate love for sports with this wonderful community.

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